Texas Southern vs Alabama State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SWAC Tournament

The No. 4 seed Texas Southern Tigers (15-16, 12-6 SWAC) take on the No. 5 seed Alabama State Hornets (16-15, 12-6 SWAC) in the SWAC tournament Thursday at Gateway Center Arena, beginning at 2 p.m. ET. Both teams will look to take one step closer to securing an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Texas Southern vs. Alabama State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 13, 2025
• Game time: 2 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: College Park, Georgia
• Arena: Gateway Center Arena

Texas Southern vs. Alabama State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Texas Southern win (56.2%)

Before you wager on Thursday's Texas Southern-Alabama State spread (Texas Southern -1.5) or total (138.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.

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Texas Southern vs. Alabama State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Texas Southern has compiled a 13-15-0 record against the spread this season.
• Alabama State has won 12 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 17 times.
• As a 1.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Alabama State is 6-6 against the spread compared to the 8-3 ATS record Texas Southern racks up as a 1.5-point favorite.
• The Tigers have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered six times in 10 opportunities at home, and they've covered seven times in 18 opportunities in road games.
• The Hornets' winning percentage against the spread at home is .400 (4-6-0). On the road, it is .467 (7-8-0).
• Texas Southern's record against the spread in conference games is 11-7-0.
• Alabama State is 7-11-0 against the spread in SWAC play this season.

Texas Southern vs. Alabama State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Texas Southern has been victorious in nine, or 81.8%, of the 11 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Tigers have a win-loss record of 9-3 when favored by -110 or better by oddsmakers this year.
• Alabama State has won three of the 12 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (25%).
• The Hornets are 3-9 (winning only 25% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of -110 or longer.
• Texas Southern has an implied victory probability of 52.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Texas Southern vs. Alabama State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Texas Southern averages 72.5 points per game (218th in college basketball) while giving up 71.7 per outing (176th in college basketball). It has a +23 scoring differential overall.
• Kavion McClain's team-leading 13.9 points per game ranks 393rd in the nation.
• Alabama State has a +30 scoring differential, putting up 73.8 points per game (181st in college basketball) and conceding 72.9 (210th in college basketball).
• Amarr Knox's team-leading 15.0 points per game rank him 269th in the nation.
• The 33.6 rebounds per game the Tigers average rank 82nd in college basketball. Their opponents record 34.4 per contest.
• Kenny Hunter's 5.5 rebounds per game lead the Tigers and rank 448th in college basketball action.
• The Hornets rank 173rd in the country at 32.1 rebounds per game. That's 3.6 fewer than the 35.7 their opponents average.
• Antonio Madlock leads the team with 6.9 rebounds per game (181st in college basketball).
• Texas Southern ranks 333rd in college basketball with 88.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 36th in college basketball defensively with 87.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Hornets' 93.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 240th in college basketball, and the 92.3 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 148th in college basketball.

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