UConn vs Villanova Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big East Tournament

The No. 3 seed UConn Huskies (22-9, 14-6 Big East) are squaring off against the No. 6 seed Villanova Wildcats (19-13, 11-9 Big East) in the Big East tournament on Thursday at Madison Square Garden, at 9:30 p.m. ET airing on Fox Sports 1.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

UConn vs. Villanova Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 13, 2025
• Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Fox Sports 1
• Location: New York City, New York
• Arena: Madison Square Garden

UConn vs. Villanova Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: UConn win (58.7%)

Before placing a wager on Thursday's UConn-Villanova spread (UConn -6.5) or over/under (134.5 points), take a look at the betting trends and insights below.

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UConn vs. Villanova: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• UConn has compiled a 15-16-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Villanova has won 17 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 15 times.
• UConn (8-12) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 6.5 points or more this season (40%) than Villanova (1-2) does as a 6.5+-point underdog (33.3%).
• Against the spread, the Huskies have performed worse when playing at home, covering eight times in 16 home games, and six times in 11 road games.
• Against the spread, the Wildcats have performed better at home (11-6-0) than away (3-8-0).
• Against the spread, in conference action, UConn is 8-12-0 this season.
• Against the spread in Big East games, Villanova is 11-10-0 this season.

UConn vs. Villanova: Moneyline Betting Stats

• UConn has been victorious in 13, or 68.4%, of the 19 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This season, the Huskies have come away with a win 10 times in 15 chances when named as a favorite of at least -280 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Villanova has won 33.3% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (3-6).
• The Wildcats have played three times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +225 or longer, and lost each game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies UConn has a 73.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

UConn vs. Villanova Head-to-Head Comparison

• UConn is outscoring opponents by 9.7 points per game with a +301 scoring differential overall. It puts up 78.0 points per game (79th in college basketball) and gives up 68.3 per contest (68th in college basketball).
• Solomon Ball ranks 283rd in the country with a team-high 14.8 points per game.
• Villanova puts up 73.9 points per game (176th in college basketball) while giving up 67.3 per outing (52nd in college basketball). It has a +211 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 6.6 points per game.
• Eric Dixon's team-leading 23.5 points per game rank him first in the nation.
• The Huskies win the rebound battle by 7.4 boards on average. They record 33.0 rebounds per game, which ranks 118th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 25.6 per contest.
• Tarris Reed, Jr.'s 7.3 rebounds per game lead the Huskies and rank 131st in college basketball play.
• The Wildcats win the rebound battle by 3.6 boards on average. They record 30.8 rebounds per game, 253rd in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 27.2.
• Wooga Poplar is 171st in college basketball with 7.0 rebounds per game, leading the Wildcats.
• UConn ranks 16th in college basketball by averaging 105.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 148th in college basketball, allowing 92.3 points per 100 possessions.
• The Wildcats average 103.8 points per 100 possessions on offense (26th in college basketball), and concede 94.6 points per 100 possessions (215th in college basketball).

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