Colorado State vs Nevada Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MWC Tournament

The No. 2 seed Colorado State Rams (22-9, 16-4 MWC) are squaring off against the No. 7 seed Nevada Wolf Pack (17-15, 8-12 MWC) in the MWC tournament on Thursday at Thomas & Mack Center, at 9 p.m. ET airing on CBS Sports Network.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Colorado State vs. Nevada Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Thursday, March 13, 2025
- Game time: 9 p.m. ET
- TV channel: CBS Sports Network
- Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
- Arena: Thomas & Mack Center
Colorado State vs. Nevada Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Colorado State win (59.3%)
Colorado State is a 4.5-point favorite against Nevada on Thursday and the over/under has been set at 137.5 points. Here are some betting trends and insights before you place a wager on the matchup.
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Colorado State vs. Nevada: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Colorado State has covered 18 times in 31 games with a spread this season.
- Nevada is 15-17-0 ATS this year.
- Colorado State covers the spread when it is a 4.5-point favorite or more 64.3% of the time. That's more often than Nevada covers as an underdog of 4.5 or more (25%).
- At home, the Rams sport a better record against the spread (11-5-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (6-5-0).
- The Wolf Pack have been better against the spread at home (9-8-0) than on the road (3-8-0) this season.
- Against the spread, in conference action, Colorado State is 15-5-0 this year.
- Nevada has beaten the spread seven times in 21 MWC games.
Colorado State vs. Nevada: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Colorado State has come away with 18 wins in the 20 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
- The Rams have a win-loss record of 13-1 when favored by -210 or better by bookmakers this year.
- Nevada has yet to win a game it played as the moneyline underdog this season, going 4-7.
- The Wolf Pack have played in four games as a moneyline underdog with odds of +172 or longer without earning a win.
- Colorado State has an implied victory probability of 67.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Colorado State vs. Nevada Head-to-Head Comparison
- Colorado State outscores opponents by eight points per game (scoring 75.5 per game to rank 131st in college basketball while allowing 67.5 per contest to rank 57th in college basketball) and has a +245 scoring differential overall.
- Nique Clifford's team-leading 18.4 points per game ranks 62nd in the nation.
- Nevada is outscoring opponents by 4.5 points per game, with a +146 scoring differential overall. It puts up 72.7 points per game (210th in college basketball) and allows 68.2 per contest (65th in college basketball).
- Nick Davidson is ranked 216th in the country with a team-leading 15.6 points per game.
- The Rams win the rebound battle by 3.2 boards on average. They collect 32 rebounds per game, which ranks 181st in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 28.8 per contest.
- Clifford averages 9.7 rebounds per game (ranking 12th in college basketball) to lead the Rams.
- The Wolf Pack win the rebound battle by 1.5 boards on average. They collect 29.6 rebounds per game, 313th in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 28.1.
- Davidson averages 6.5 rebounds per game (234th in college basketball) to lead the Wolf Pack.
- Colorado State's 101.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 48th in college basketball, and the 91.2 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 121st in college basketball.
- The Wolf Pack put up 101 points per 100 possessions (62nd in college basketball), while allowing 94.7 points per 100 possessions (219th in college basketball).
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