Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Sept. 7

Odds updated as of 5:19 a.m.
The MLB schedule on Sunday includes the Boston Red Sox facing the Arizona Diamondbacks.
All the information you need to make smart bets on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Game Info
- Boston Red Sox (78-65) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (72-71)
- Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025
- Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- Venue: Chase Field -- Phoenix, Arizona
- Coverage: ARID and NESN
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: BOS: (-120) | ARI: (+102)
- Spread: BOS: -1.5 (+130) | ARI: +1.5 (-156)
- Total: 9 -- Over: (-112) | Under: (-108)
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Brayan Bello (Red Sox) - 11-6, 3.07 ERA vs Ryne Nelson (Diamondbacks) - 7-3, 3.57 ERA
The Red Sox will give the nod to Brayan Bello (11-6) versus the Diamondbacks and Ryne Nelson (7-3). Bello and his team are 15-9-0 ATS this season when he starts. When Bello starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 11-3. The Diamondbacks have an 11-8-0 record against the spread in Nelson's starts. The Diamondbacks are 4-4 in Nelson's eight starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Diamondbacks win (54.2%)
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Moneyline
- Arizona is the underdog, +102 on the moneyline, while Boston is a -120 favorite despite being on the road.
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Spread
- The Red Sox are at the Diamondbacks and are favored by 1.5 runs on the spread. The Red Sox are +130 to cover the runline, with the Diamondbacks being -156.
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Over/Under
- Red Sox versus Diamondbacks, on Sept. 7, has an over/under of 9, with the over being -112 and the under -108.
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Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Betting Trends
- The Red Sox have won in 52, or 57.8%, of the 90 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
- Boston has a record of 36-28 in contests when sportsbooks favor them by -120 or more on the moneyline.
- The Red Sox and their opponents have hit the over in 68 of their 142 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Red Sox are 76-66-0 against the spread in their 142 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Diamondbacks have put together a 28-29 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 49.1% of those games).
- Arizona has a 23-24 record (winning 48.9% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +102 or longer.
- The Diamondbacks have combined with opponents to go over the total 68 times this season for a 68-65-6 record against the over/under.
- The Diamondbacks have put together a 69-70-0 record ATS this season (covering 49.6% of the time).
Red Sox Player Leaders
- Jarren Duran has 142 hits and an OBP of .337 to go with a slugging percentage of .446. All three of those stats are best among Boston hitters this season. He has a .260 batting average, as well.
- He ranks 77th in batting average, 61st in on-base percentage, and 69th in slugging among all qualified hitters in baseball.
- Trevor Story is batting .259 with 24 doubles, 23 home runs and 30 walks. He's slugging .433 with an on-base percentage of .305.
- Among qualifying hitters, his batting average places him 80th, his on-base percentage 123rd, and his slugging percentage 78th.
- Story heads into this matchup looking to extend his two-game hit streak. In his last five games he is hitting .350 with a double, a home run, a walk and four RBIs.
- Ceddanne Rafaela has collected 118 base hits, an OBP of .288 and a slugging percentage of .417 this season.
- Alex Bregman has 16 home runs, 56 RBI and a batting average of .281 this season.
Diamondbacks Player Leaders
- Geraldo Perdomo has a team-high .450 slugging percentage. He's batting .286 with an on-base percentage of .384.
- Including all the qualified hitters in the majors, his batting average places him 18th, his on-base percentage ranks seventh, and he is 60th in slugging.
- Corbin Carroll's 130 hits pace his team. He has a batting average of .259 while slugging .560 with an on-base percentage of .335.
- Including all qualified players, he ranks 80th in batting average, 66th in on-base percentage and fifth in slugging percentage.
- Ketel Marte a has .389 on-base percentage to lead the Diamondbacks.
- Gabriel Moreno is batting .273 with 10 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 17 walks.
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Head to Head
- 9/6/2025: 5-1 ARI (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
- 9/5/2025: 10-5 ARI (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
- 8/25/2024: 7-5 ARI (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 8/24/2024: 4-1 ARI (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
- 8/23/2024: 12-2 ARI (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
- 5/28/2023: 4-2 ARI (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 5/27/2023: 2-1 BOS (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
- 5/26/2023: 7-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
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