Phillies vs Mets Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Sept. 11

Odds updated as of 5:18 a.m.

In MLB action on Thursday, the Philadelphia Phillies face the New York Mets.

Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the most important info regarding this game.

Phillies vs Mets Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies (86-60) vs. New York Mets (76-70)
• Date: Thursday, September 11, 2025
• Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park -- Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Coverage: FOX

Phillies vs Mets Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: PHI: (-142) | NYM: (+120)
• Spread: PHI: -1.5 (+136) | NYM: +1.5 (-164)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

Phillies vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Jesús Luzardo (Phillies) - 13-6, 4.01 ERA vs David Peterson (Mets) - 9-5, 3.72 ERA

The Phillies will give the nod to Jesus Luzardo (13-6, 4.01 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 14 on the season, and the Mets will counter with David Peterson (9-5, 3.72 ERA). Luzardo's team is 13-15-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Luzardo's team is 14-9 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. The Mets have an 8-16-0 record against the spread in Peterson's starts. The Mets are 1-4 in Peterson's five starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.

Phillies vs Mets Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Phillies win (54.7%)

Phillies vs Mets Moneyline

• Philadelphia is the favorite, -142 on the moneyline, while New York is a +120 underdog on the road.

Phillies vs Mets Spread

• The Phillies are hosting the Mets and are favored by 1.5 runs (+136 to cover) on the runline. New York is -164 to cover.

Phillies vs Mets Over/Under

• A total of 8.5 runs has been set for the Phillies-Mets game on Sept. 11, with the over available at -105 and the under at -115.

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Phillies vs Mets Betting Trends

• The Phillies have won in 72, or 64.9%, of the 111 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• This year Philadelphia has won 54 of 78 games when listed as at least -142 on the moneyline.
• The Phillies and their opponents have gone over in 55 of their 139 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 139 games with a line this season, the Phillies have a mark of 72-67-0 against the spread.
• The Mets have won 15 of the 39 games they were the moneyline underdog this season (38.5%).
• New York is 2-8 (winning only 20% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +120 or longer.
• The Mets have played in 139 games with a set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 64 times (64-67-8).
• The Mets have covered 46.8% of their games this season, going 65-74-0 ATS.

Phillies Player Leaders

• Kyle Schwarber has 131 hits and an OBP of .368, both of which lead Philadelphia hitters this season. He has a .241 batting average and a slugging percentage of .562.
• Among qualified hitters in the majors, he ranks 110th in batting average, 11th in on-base percentage, and fifth in slugging.
• Schwarber has picked up at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .176 with a home run, five walks and four RBIs.
• Bryce Harper is hitting .263 with 30 doubles, 25 home runs and 58 walks. He's slugging .496 with an on-base percentage of .353.
• He is 62nd in batting average, 33rd in on-base percentage and 21st in slugging in the major leagues.
• Harper heads into this game looking to extend his two-game hit streak. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with a double, two home runs and three RBIs.
• Bryson Stott has collected 114 base hits, an OBP of .327 and a slugging percentage of .379 this season.
• Stott has logged a hit or more in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with a double, two walks and two RBIs.
• Nick Castellanos has been key for Philadelphia with 129 hits, an OBP of .296 plus a slugging percentage of .406.
• Castellanos takes a four-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with a double, a triple, two walks and four RBIs.

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto has a team-high OBP (.401), and paces the Mets in hits (136). He's batting .264 and slugging.
• Including all the qualifying hitters in the big leagues, he is 60th in batting average, second in on-base percentage and 13th in slugging percentage.
• Francisco Lindor's .452 slugging percentage leads his team. He has a batting average of .263 with an on-base percentage of .337.
• Including all qualifying hitters, he ranks 62nd in batting average, 54th in on-base percentage and 57th in slugging percentage.
• Pete Alonso is batting .269 with 37 doubles, a triple, 33 home runs and 56 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo has 27 doubles, 22 home runs and 48 walks while batting .261.

Phillies vs Mets Head to Head

• 9/10/2025: 11-3 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
• 9/9/2025: 9-3 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 9/8/2025: 1-0 PHI (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 8/27/2025: 6-0 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 8/26/2025: 6-5 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 8/25/2025: 13-3 NYM (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
• 6/22/2025: 7-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 6/21/2025: 11-4 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 6/20/2025: 10-2 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -196, Underdog Moneyline: +164)
• 4/23/2025: 4-3 NYM (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)

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