Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for NLDS Game 1 on Oct. 4

Odds updated as of 5:12 a.m.
The MLB schedule on Saturday includes the Philadelphia Phillies facing the Los Angeles Dodgers for Game 1 of the NLDS.
Before you do any MLB betting on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.
Phillies vs Dodgers Game Info
- Philadelphia Phillies (96-66) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (93-69)
- Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
- Time: 6:38 p.m. ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park -- Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- Coverage: TBS, truTV, and HBO Max
Phillies vs Dodgers Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: PHI: (-122) | LAD: (+104)
- Spread: PHI: -1.5 (+180) | LAD: +1.5 (-220)
- Total: 7.5 -- Over: (-100) | Under: (-122)
Phillies vs Dodgers Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Cristopher Sanchez (Phillies) - 13-5, 2.50 ERA vs Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) - 1-1, 2.87 ERA
The probable starters are Cristopher Sanchez (13-5, 2.50 ERA) for the Phillies and Shohei Ohtani (1-1, 2.87 ERA) for the Dodgers. Sanchez's team is 18-14-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Sanchez's team has won 75% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (21-7). The Dodgers have a 4-10-0 ATS record in Ohtani's 14 starts that had a set spread. The Dodgers have always been the moneyline underdog when Ohtani starts this season.
Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Phillies win (54.3%)
Phillies vs Dodgers Moneyline
- Philadelphia is the favorite, -122 on the moneyline, while Los Angeles is a +104 underdog on the road.
Phillies vs Dodgers Spread
- The Dodgers are at the Phillies, and are +1.5 on the runline. The Dodgers are +180 to cover the spread, and the Phillies are -220.
Phillies vs Dodgers Over/Under
- A combined run total of 7.5 has been set for Phillies-Dodgers on Oct. 4, with the over at -100 and the under at -122.
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Phillies vs Dodgers Betting Trends
- The Phillies have been chosen as favorites in 122 games this year and have walked away with the win 79 times (64.8%) in those games.
- This year Philadelphia has won 72 of 107 games when listed as at least -122 on the moneyline.
- The Phillies and their opponents have hit the over in 65 of their 155 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Phillies have an against the spread record of 79-76-0 in 155 games with a line this season.
- The Dodgers have won nine of the 18 games they were the moneyline underdog this season (50%).
- Los Angeles has a 3-3 record (winning 50% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +104 or longer.
- The Dodgers have combined with opponents to go over the total 78 times this season for a 78-77-7 record against the over/under.
- The Dodgers have collected a 72-90-0 record ATS this season (covering 44.4% of the time).
Phillies Player Leaders
- Kyle Schwarber leads Philadelphia in OBP (.365) and total hits (145) this season. He's batting .240 batting average while slugging .563.
- Among the qualifying hitters in MLB, his batting average ranks 111th, his on-base percentage ranks 16th, and he is fourth in slugging.
- Trea Turner has hit 15 homers this season while driving in 69 runs. He's batting .304 this season and slugging .457 with an on-base percentage of .355.
- Among all qualifying hitters, he is fifth in batting average, 26th in on-base percentage and 51st in slugging percentage.
- Bryce Harper has 131 hits this season and has a slash line of .261/.357/.487.
- Bryson Stott is batting .257 with a .328 OBP and 66 RBI for Philadelphia this season.
- Stott heads into this game on a two-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is batting .313 with a home run and an RBI.
Dodgers Player Leaders
- Ohtani has an on-base percentage of .392, a slugging percentage of .622, and has 172 hits, all club-highs for the Dodgers (while batting .282).
- Including all qualifying hitters in the big leagues, he ranks 24th in batting average, fourth in on-base percentage and second in slugging percentage.
- Ohtani hopes to build on a three-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .318 with a double, four home runs, two walks and seven RBIs.
- Mookie Betts is batting .258 with 23 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs and 61 walks. He's slugging .406 with an on-base percentage of .326.
- His batting average ranks 69th among all qualified players, his on-base percentage is 82nd, and he is 96th in slugging.
- Freddie Freeman is hitting .295 with 39 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 60 walks.
- Andy Pages has 27 doubles, a triple, 27 home runs and 29 walks while batting .272.
Phillies vs Dodgers Head to Head
- 9/17/2025: 5-0 LAD (Favorite: Dodgers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
- 9/16/2025: 9-6 PHI (Favorite: Dodgers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
- 9/15/2025: 6-5 PHI (Favorite: Dodgers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
- 4/6/2025: 8-7 PHI (Favorite: Dodgers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 4/5/2025: 3-1 LAD (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
- 4/4/2025: 3-2 PHI (Favorite: Dodgers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
- 8/7/2024: 9-4 PHI (Favorite: Dodgers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
- 8/6/2024: 6-2 PHI (Favorite: Dodgers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
- 8/5/2024: 5-3 LAD (Favorite: Dodgers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
- 7/11/2024: 5-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
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