Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for ALDS Game 1 on Oct. 4

Odds updated as of 2:12 a.m.

The Saturday schedule in the MLB includes a matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and the New York Yankees for Game 1 of the ALDS.

Here's everything you need to know before checking out today's MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Game Info

• Toronto Blue Jays (94-68) vs. New York Yankees (94-68)
• Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
• Time: 4:08 p.m. ET
• Venue: Rogers Centre -- Toronto, Ontario
• Coverage: FOX

Blue Jays vs Yankees Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: TOR: (-124) | NYY: (+106)
• Spread: TOR: -1.5 (+172) | NYY: +1.5 (-210)
• Total: 7.5 -- Over: (-130) | Under: (+106)

Blue Jays vs Yankees Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays) - 10-11, 3.59 ERA vs Luis Gil (Yankees) - 0-0, 0.00 ERA

The Blue Jays will look to Kevin Gausman (10-11, 3.59 ERA) against the Yankees and Luis Gil. Gausman's team is 15-17-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Gausman's team has been victorious in 41.2% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 7-10. Gil's team was never the underdog on the moneyline a season ago in games he pitched.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yankees win (53.8%)

Blue Jays vs Yankees Moneyline

• Toronto is a -124 favorite on the moneyline, while New York is a +106 underdog on the road.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Spread

• The Blue Jays are hosting the Yankees and are favored by 1.5 runs on the spread. The Blue Jays are +172 to cover the runline, with the Yankees being -210.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Over/Under

• Blue Jays versus Yankees on Oct. 4 has an over/under of 7.5 runs, with the odds on the over -130 and the under set at +106.

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Blue Jays vs Yankees Betting Trends

• The Blue Jays have been favorites in 83 games this season and have come away with the win 49 times (59%) in those contests.
• This year Toronto has won 46 of 72 games when listed as at least -124 on the moneyline.
• The Blue Jays' games have gone over the total in 86 of their 161 opportunities.
• In 161 games with a line this season, the Blue Jays have a mark of 92-69-0 against the spread.
• The Yankees have been the underdog on the moneyline 20 total times this season. They've finished 7-13 in those games.
• New York is 4-6 (winning 40% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +106 or longer.
• In the 163 games bookmakers have set an over/under for the Yankees, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 76 times (76-81-6).
• The Yankees have collected a 77-86-0 record against the spread this season (covering 47.2% of the time).

Blue Jays Player Leaders

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 34 doubles, 23 home runs and 81 walks while batting .292. He has an on-base percentage of .381 and a slugging percentage of .467.
• He ranks 12th in batting average, sixth in on-base percentage, and 41st in slugging among all qualified batters in the majors.
• George Springer has 153 hits and an OBP of .397, both of which lead the Blue Jays this season. He's batting .307 and slugging .556.
• Among qualifying batters, his batting average places him fourth, his on-base percentage second, and his slugging percentage fifth.
• Springer has picked up a hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .389 with a double, two home runs, four walks and four RBIs.
• Ernie Clement is batting .277 with a .398 slugging percentage and 50 RBI this year.
• Clement has logged a hit or more in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .294 with two doubles, a walk and three RBIs.
• Alejandro Kirk has 15 home runs, 76 RBI and a batting average of .282 this season.
• Kirk has safely hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with a double, three home runs, a walk and seven RBIs.

Yankees Player Leaders

• Aaron Judge has racked up a team-best OBP (.457) and slugging percentage (.688), while pacing the Yankees in hits (179, while batting .331).
• Including all qualified hitters in MLB, he is first in batting average, first in on-base percentage and first in slugging percentage.
• Cody Bellinger has 25 doubles, five triples, 29 home runs and 57 walks while batting .272. He's slugging .480 with an on-base percentage of .334.
• Including all qualifying hitters, he is 36th in batting average, 61st in on-base percentage and 29th in slugging percentage.
• Trent Grisham is hitting .235 with nine doubles, a triple, 34 home runs and 82 walks.
• Ben Rice is batting .255 with 28 doubles, four triples, 26 home runs and 50 walks.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Head to Head

• 9/7/2025: 4-3 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -180, Underdog Moneyline: +152)
• 9/6/2025: 3-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 9/5/2025: 7-1 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 7/23/2025: 8-4 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 7/22/2025: 5-4 NYY (Favorite: Blue Jays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 7/21/2025: 4-1 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 7/3/2025: 8-5 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 7/2/2025: 11-9 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 7/1/2025: 12-5 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
• 6/30/2025: 5-4 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)

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