Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Dec. 25

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game Info

• Date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
• Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Ball Arena -- Denver, Colorado
• Coverage: ABC and ESPN

The Minnesota Timberwolves (20-10) are 4-point underdogs as they look to continue a three-game road winning streak when they visit the Denver Nuggets (21-8) on Thursday, December 25, 2025 at Ball Arena. The game airs at 10:30 p.m. ET on ABC and ESPN. The matchup has an over/under set at 237.5 points.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Nuggets win (59.7%)

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

• The Nuggets have covered the spread 17 times in 29 games with a set spread.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 12-18-0 this year.
• This season, 19 of the Nuggets' games have gone over the point total out of 30 chances.
• The Timberwolves have eclipsed the over/under 43.3% of the time this year (13 of 30 games with a set point total).
• Denver has a worse record against the spread when playing at home (8-6-0) than it does in road games (9-6-0).
• The Nuggets have exceeded the over/under less consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in nine of 14 home matchups (64.3%). In away games, they have hit the over in 10 of 15 games (66.7%).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, Minnesota has a better winning percentage at home (.412, 7-10-0 record) than away (.385, 5-8-0).
• Looking at the over/under, Timberwolves games have gone over five of 17 times at home (29.4%), and eight of 13 away (61.5%).

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic averages 28.9 points, 12 rebounds and 10.9 assists, shooting 60.4% from the field (eighth in NBA) and 43.1% from downtown, with 2.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Jamal Murray is averaging 25.1 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6.9 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Peyton Watson averages 10.6 points, 4.6 boards and 1.6 assists.
• Cameron Johnson is averaging 11.7 points, 3.6 boards and 2.4 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Tim Hardaway Jr.'s numbers on the season are 12.7 points, 2.1 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game, shooting 46.8% from the field and 42.5% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.7 made 3-pointers.

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle averages 22.6 points, 7.2 rebounds and 5.5 assists. He is also sinking 48.2% of his shots from the floor and 32.9% from 3-point range, with 1.6 triples per contest.
• Anthony Edwards averages 28.7 points, 5 rebounds and 3.8 assists. He is also making 49% of his shots from the floor and 40.4% from 3-point range, with 3.3 triples per contest (ninth in league).
• Rudy Gobert averages 11.5 points, 11.1 rebounds and 2 assists. He is making 73.1% of his shots from the field (first in league).
• Naz Reid averages 13.7 points, 6.3 boards and 2.4 assists. He is making 44.9% of his shots from the floor and 36.3% from 3-point range, with 2.3 triples per game.
• Donte DiVincenzo averages 13.9 points, 4.3 rebounds and 3.8 assists. He is draining 41.8% of his shots from the field and 38.5% from beyond the arc, with 3.1 treys per contest (10th in NBA).

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