North Carolina vs East Tennessee State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Dec. 16

The North Carolina Tar Heels (9-1) will look to build on an eight-game home winning streak when they host the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (8-3) on December 16, 2025 at Dean E. Smith Center.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, December 16, 2025
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ACC Network
• Location: Chapel Hill, North Carolina
• Arena: Dean E. Smith Center

North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: North Carolina win (86.2%)

Before placing a bet on Tuesday's North Carolina-East Tennessee State spread (North Carolina -15.5) or over/under (149.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.

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North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• North Carolina has covered six times in 10 matchups with a spread this season.
• East Tennessee State has compiled a 6-3-0 record against the spread this season.
• The Tar Heels owned a better record against the spread when playing at home (7-8-0) than they did on the road (4-8-0) last season.
• The Buccaneers have performed better against the spread at home (5-0-0) than on the road (1-3-0) this year.

North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• North Carolina has been named as the moneyline favorite seven times this year and has yet to lose any of those games.
• The Tar Heels have been a -2326 moneyline favorite on four occasions this season and won every game.
• East Tennessee State has been the moneyline underdog only two other times so far this season, and it split the games.
• The Buccaneers have not yet played a game with moneyline odds of +1060 or longer.
• North Carolina has an implied victory probability of 95.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State Head-to-Head Comparison

• North Carolina is outscoring opponents by 16.4 points per game with a +164 scoring differential overall. It puts up 81.1 points per game (110th in college basketball) and gives up 64.7 per contest (22nd in college basketball).
• Caleb Wilson leads North Carolina, scoring 19.6 points per game (40th in the country).
• East Tennessee State's +168 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 15.2 points per game) is a result of putting up 80.7 points per game (119th in college basketball) while allowing 65.5 per contest (28th in college basketball).
• East Tennessee State's leading scorer, Cam Morris III, is 365th in the nation, averaging 14.2 points per game.
• The Tar Heels record 39.4 rebounds per game (13th in college basketball) while allowing 29.1 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 10.3 boards per game.
• Wilson tops the team with 10.6 rebounds per game (eighth in college basketball action).
• The 34.4 rebounds per game the Buccaneers accumulate rank 133rd in college basketball, 5.1 more than the 29.3 their opponents record.
• Blake Barkley paces the Buccaneers with 4.9 rebounds per game (656th in college basketball).
• North Carolina averages 101.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (108th in college basketball), and gives up 81 points per 100 possessions (19th in college basketball).
• The Buccaneers rank 106th in college basketball with 101.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 28th defensively with 82.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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