Michigan State vs Toledo College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Dec. 16

The Toledo Rockets (5-5) battle the Michigan State Spartans (9-1) at Jack Breslin Students Events Center on December 16, 2025.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan State vs. Toledo Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, December 16, 2025
• Game time: 6:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Peacock
• Location: East Lansing, Michigan
• Arena: Jack Breslin Students Events Center

Michigan State vs. Toledo Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan State win (92%)

Michigan State is a 22.5-point favorite over Toledo on Tuesday and the over/under is set at 150.5 points. Here's some betting trends and insights if you are planning on making a wager on the contest.

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Michigan State vs. Toledo: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan State is 5-5-0 ATS this season.
• Toledo has put together a 4-5-0 ATS record so far this year.
• At home last season, the Spartans owned a worse record against the spread (10-6-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (7-2-0).
• Last season, the Rockets were 3-9-0 at home against the spread (.250 winning percentage). Away, they were 9-6-0 ATS (.600).

Michigan State vs. Toledo: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan State has been named as the moneyline favorite seven times this year and has yet to lose any of those games.
• The Spartans have played as a favorite of -7692 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
• Toledo is 2-2 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 50% of those games).
• The Rockets have yet to play a game with moneyline odds of +2200 or longer.
• Michigan State has an implied victory probability of 98.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Michigan State vs. Toledo Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan State scored 77.7 points per game and gave up 67.1 last year, making them 78th in the country on offense and 44th on defense.
• Last season, Michigan State was 10th-best in the nation in rebounds (36.7 per game) and 28th in rebounds allowed (28.2).
• Michigan State was 24th-best in the nation in assists (16.5 per game) last year.
• Michigan State was 135th in college basketball in turnovers per game (10.7) and 265th in turnovers forced (10.4) last season.
• Toledo was ranked 55th in college basketball offensively last season with 78.9 points per game, while defensively it was 13th-worst (80.2 points allowed per game).
• With 30.8 rebounds per game, Toledo ranked 253rd in the country. It allowed 31.4 rebounds per contest, which ranked 195th in college basketball.
• Last season Toledo ranked 214th in college basketball in assists, putting up 13.1 per game.
• Toledo ranked 10th-best in the nation by averaging just 9 turnovers per game. In terms of forced turnovers, it ranked 288th in college basketball (10.2 per contest).

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