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2:58 AM

NZ - Avondale - Race 8

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
8f
Unknown
Turf
SOFT 5
10.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TARZADOR (6) got back and then left her run too late over 7f at Te Aroha 15 days ago over 7f when starting near favourite. She is back out to a mile and more importantly, Opie Bosson will keep the ride. She can get the job done this time. DON PAULY (1) ran on late and only peaked late on his run when finishing third at Matamata last time out. He will be peaking at the right time, and in this company, he is always an each-way threat, especially if there is some cut in the ground. PROUDTOBEHERE (5) motored home once in the clear at Te Aroha last start against a few of these, and she strips fitter second up from a spell. The step up to a mile is ideal, and she can have the last say in this. GUIDING LIGHT (12) came to the end of her run late at Waverley as the favourite last start, and will drop 7lbs here due to her racing out of her grade. She is well worth including in all combinations. BARCELONA (10) has been disappointing, but she is worth another chance in this sort of field.
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Don Pauly silk
2nd Pick
1

Don Pauly

Jockey: Matthew Cameron

Trainer: Peter & Shaun Mckay

J: Matthew Cameron

T: Peter & Shaun Mckay

166---12%15/2
2
Lagisquet silk
2

Lagisquet

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Jenna Mahoney

J: Non Runner

T: Jenna Mahoney

80---12%

Scratched

3
Frosbie silk
3

Frosbie

Jockey: Courtney Barnes

Trainer: Dean Wiles

J: Courtney Barnes

T: Dean Wiles

70---2%66/1
4
Sally silk
4

Sally

Jockey: Hayley Hassman

Trainer: Gavin Opie

J: Hayley Hassman

T: Gavin Opie

122---7%15/1
5
Proudtobehere silk
3rd Pick
5

Proudtobehere

Jockey: Elen Nicholas

Trainer: Andrew Forsman

J: Elen Nicholas

T: Andrew Forsman

108---19%9/2
6
Tarzador silk
1st Pick
6

Tarzador

Jockey: Opie Bosson

Trainer: Graeme & Debbie Rogerson

J: Opie Bosson

T: Graeme & Debbie Rogerson

92---17%5/1
7
Eddie's Dream silk
7

Eddie's Dream

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Michael Rogers

J: Non Runner

T: Michael Rogers

126---6%

Scratched

8
Mandalo silk
8

Mandalo

Jockey: Bailey Rogerson

Trainer: Michelle Northcott

J: Bailey Rogerson

T: Michelle Northcott

60---1%100/1
9
Silkdegrees silk
9

Silkdegrees

Jockey: Joe Doyle

Trainer: Phillip Stevens

J: Joe Doyle

T: Phillip Stevens

63---8%13/1
10
Barcelona silk
10

Barcelona

Jockey: Corentin Berge

Trainer: Margaret Falconer

J: Corentin Berge

T: Margaret Falconer

139---7%15/1
11
Mood Painter silk
11

Mood Painter

Jockey: George Rooke

Trainer: Pam Gerard

J: George Rooke

T: Pam Gerard

64---5%20/1
12
Guiding Light silk
12

Guiding Light

Jockey: Samantha Collett

Trainer: Steven Ramsay & Julia Ritchie

J: Samantha Collett

T: Steven Ramsay & Julia Ritchie

86---27%11/4
13
Madiran silk
13

Madiran

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Michael Rogers

J: Non Runner

T: Michael Rogers

66---4%

Scratched

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.