Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 3

Odds updated as of 7:11 a.m.
On Thursday in MLB, the New York Yankees are playing the Toronto Blue Jays.
Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Game Info
- New York Yankees (48-38) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (48-38)
- Date: Thursday, July 3, 2025
- Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
- Venue: Rogers Centre -- Toronto, Ontario
- Coverage: MLB Network, SNET, and YES
Yankees vs Blue Jays Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: NYY: (-124) | TOR: (+106)
- Spread: NYY: -1.5 (+128) | TOR: +1.5 (-154)
- Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (-100)
Yankees vs Blue Jays Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Clarke Schmidt (Yankees) - 4-4, 3.09 ERA vs Chris Bassitt (Blue Jays) - 7-4, 4.29 ERA
This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Yankees will send Clarke Schmidt (4-4) to the mound, while Chris Bassitt (7-4) will get the nod for the Blue Jays. Schmidt and his team have a record of 4-8-0 against the spread when he starts. Schmidt's team has been victorious in 50% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-6. The Blue Jays have a 12-4-0 record against the spread in Bassitt's starts. The Blue Jays have been the moneyline underdog in six of Bassitt's starts this season, and they went 3-3 in those games.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yankees win (53.7%)
Yankees vs Blue Jays Moneyline
- Looking at the moneyline for Blue Jays-Yankees, Toronto is the underdog at +106, and New York is -124 playing on the road.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Spread
- The Blue Jays are +1.5 on the run line against the Yankees. The Blue Jays are -154 to cover, and the Yankees are +128.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Over/Under
- An over/under of 8.5 has been set for Yankees-Blue Jays on July 3, with the over being -122 and the under -100.
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Yankees vs Blue Jays Betting Trends
- The Yankees have come away with 45 wins in the 76 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
- New York has a record of 42-29 when favored by -124 or more this year.
- The Yankees and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 33 of their 85 opportunities.
- The Yankees have posted a record of 38-47-0 against the spread this season.
- The Blue Jays have gone 28-24 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 53.8% of those games).
- Toronto has a 19-14 record (winning 57.6% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +106 or longer.
- The Blue Jays have had an over/under set by bookmakers 85 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 47 of those games (47-35-3).
- The Blue Jays are 53-32-0 against the spread this season.
Yankees Player Leaders
- Aaron Judge leads New York with 115 hits and an OBP of .470, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .735. He's batting .363.
- Among all qualifying batters, he ranks first in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks first, and he is first in slugging.
- Judge has hit safely in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .467 with two doubles, three home runs, eight walks and seven RBIs.
- Cody Bellinger is batting .267 with 15 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 28 walks, while slugging .457 with an on-base percentage of .326.
- He is 63rd in batting average, 84th in on-base percentage and 52nd in slugging in the majors.
- Bellinger takes an eight-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .311 with three doubles, two home runs, a walk and six RBIs.
- Paul Goldschmidt has 87 hits this season and has a slash line of .286/.347/.431.
- Goldschmidt heads into this matchup with two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with three doubles and three walks.
- Anthony Volpe is batting .224 with a .304 OBP and 44 RBI for New York this season.
Blue Jays Player Leaders
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has racked up an on-base percentage of .383, a team-high for the Blue Jays. He's batting .278 and slugging .446.
- Including all qualifying players, he is 45th in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 11th and he is 62nd in slugging.
- George Springer's 72 hits pace his team. He has a batting average of .274 while slugging .487 with an on-base percentage of .371.
- He ranks 50th in batting average, 20th in on-base percentage and 31st in slugging percentage in the majors.
- Bo Bichette has put up a team-best .427 slugging percentage.
- Ernie Clement is hitting .300 with 17 doubles, four home runs and 19 walks.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Head to Head
- 7/2/2025: 11-9 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 7/1/2025: 12-5 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
- 6/30/2025: 5-4 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
- 4/27/2025: 11-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
- 4/25/2025: 4-2 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
- 8/4/2024: 4-3 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -260, Underdog Moneyline: +215)
- 8/3/2024: 8-3 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -235, Underdog Moneyline: +194)
- 6/30/2024: 8-1 NYY (Favorite: Blue Jays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
- 6/29/2024: 9-3 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
- 6/28/2024: 16-5 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
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