Cubs vs Guardians Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 3

Odds updated as of 7:11 a.m.

The Thursday slate in MLB includes a matchup between the Chicago Cubs and the Cleveland Guardians.

Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.

Cubs vs Guardians Game Info

• Chicago Cubs (51-35) vs. Cleveland Guardians (40-44)
• Date: Thursday, July 3, 2025
• Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
• Venue: Wrigley Field -- Chicago, Illinois
• Coverage: MLB Network, MARQ, and CLEG

Cubs vs Guardians Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: CHC: (-156) | CLE: (+132)
• Spread: CHC: -1.5 (+128) | CLE: +1.5 (-154)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Cubs vs Guardians Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Cade Horton (Cubs) - 3-2, 4.80 ERA vs Luis Ortiz (Guardians) - 4-9, 4.36 ERA

The Cubs will give the ball to Cade Horton (3-2, 4.80 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 4 on the season, and the Guardians will turn to Luis Ortiz (4-9, 4.36 ERA). When Horton starts, his team is 4-4-0 against the spread this season. Horton's team has won 83.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-1). The Guardians have a 6-10-0 record against the spread in Ortiz's starts. The Guardians are 3-6 in Ortiz's nine starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.

Cubs vs Guardians Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Cubs win (63.3%)

Cubs vs Guardians Moneyline

• Cleveland is the underdog, +132 on the moneyline, while Chicago is a -156 favorite at home.

Cubs vs Guardians Spread

• The Guardians are at the Cubs, and are +1.5 on the runline. The Guardians are +128 to cover the spread, and the Cubs are -154.

Cubs vs Guardians Over/Under

• An over/under of 8.5 has been set for Cubs-Guardians on July 3, with the over being -115 and the under -105.

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Cubs vs Guardians Betting Trends

• The Cubs have come away with 39 wins in the 55 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• Chicago has a record of 21-6 when favored by -156 or more this year.
• The Cubs and their opponents have gone over in 45 of their 84 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Cubs are 42-42-0 against the spread in their 84 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Guardians have been the underdog on the moneyline 52 total times this season. They've finished 21-31 in those games.
• Cleveland has a 4-12 record (winning just 25% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +132 or longer.
• The Guardians have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 35 times this season for a 35-44-3 record against the over/under.
• The Guardians have gone 39-43-0 ATS this season.

Cubs Player Leaders

• Kyle Tucker has an OPS of .923, fueled by an OBP of .393 to go with a slugging percentage of .530. He has a .290 batting average, as well.
• Among qualifying hitters in baseball, his batting average ranks 22nd, his on-base percentage ranks fifth, and he is 13th in slugging.
• Tucker has picked up at least one hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBIs.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong has 20 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 16 walks. He's batting .268 and slugging .542 with an on-base percentage of .305.
• Among all qualified hitters, he ranks 62nd in batting average, 119th in on-base percentage and 11th in slugging percentage.
• Crow-Armstrong brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a triple, two walks and three RBIs.
• Seiya Suzuki leads Chicago with 86 hits. He is batting .261 this season and 46 of his hits have gone for extra bases.
• Suzuki takes a two-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with a double, a triple, two home runs, two walks and six RBIs.
• Nico Hoerner is batting .288 with a .334 OBP and 35 RBI for Chicago this season.

Guardians Player Leaders

• Jose Ramirez has put up an on-base percentage of .363, a slugging percentage of .487, and has 92 hits, all club-bests for the Guardians (while batting .301).
• Including all qualifying hitters in the big leagues, he is 11th in batting average, 29th in on-base percentage and 31st in slugging percentage.
• Steven Kwan's .413 slugging percentage paces his team. He has a batting average of .292 with an on-base percentage of .354.
• Including all qualifying players, he ranks 19th in batting average, 44th in on-base percentage and 88th in slugging percentage.
• Carlos Santana is hitting .240 with seven doubles, 10 home runs and 37 walks.
• Kyle Manzardo has 11 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 25 walks while batting .223.

Cubs vs Guardians Head to Head

• 7/2/2025: 5-4 CHC (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
• 7/1/2025: 5-2 CHC (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -200, Underdog Moneyline: +168)
• 8/14/2024: 6-1 CLE (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 8/13/2024: 2-1 CLE (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
• 8/12/2024: 9-8 CLE (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)
• 6/30/2023: 10-1 CHC (Favorite: Cubs, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -196, Underdog Moneyline: +164)

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