Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 21

Odds updated as of 6:11 a.m.

The MLB's Monday slate includes the New York Yankees facing the Toronto Blue Jays.

Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Game Info

• New York Yankees (55-44) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (58-41)
• Date: Monday, July 21, 2025
• Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
• Venue: Rogers Centre -- Toronto, Ontario
• Coverage: SNET and YES

Yankees vs Blue Jays Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYY: (-120) | TOR: (+102)
• Spread: NYY: -1.5 (+146) | TOR: +1.5 (-176)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-102) | Under: (-120)

Yankees vs Blue Jays Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Carlos Rodon (Yankees) - 10-6, 3.08 ERA vs Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays) - 6-7, 4.19 ERA

The Yankees will give the nod to Carlos Rodon (10-6) versus the Blue Jays and Kevin Gausman (6-7). Rodon and his team have a record of 6-14-0 against the spread when he starts. Rodon's team has been victorious in 50% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 10-10. The Blue Jays have a 9-10-0 ATS record in Gausman's 19 starts with a set spread. The Blue Jays have been the moneyline underdog in 11 of Gausman's starts this season, and they went 7-4 in those matchups.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yankees win (52.5%)

Yankees vs Blue Jays Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Yankees-Blue Jays, New York is the favorite at -120, and Toronto is +102 playing at home.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Spread

• The Blue Jays are at +1.5 on the runline against the Yankees. The Blue Jays are -176 to cover the spread, and the Yankees are +146.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Over/Under

• An over/under of 8.5 has been set for Yankees-Blue Jays on July 21, with the over being -102 and the under -120.

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Yankees vs Blue Jays Betting Trends

• The Yankees have come away with 50 wins in the 85 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• This year New York has won 47 of 82 games when listed as at least -120 on the moneyline.
• Contests with the Yankees have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 43 of 98 chances this season.
• The Yankees are 45-53-0 against the spread in their 98 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Blue Jays have won 55.6% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (30-24).
• Toronto has gone 23-14 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +102 or longer (62.2%).
• In the 98 games bookmakers have set an over/under for the Blue Jays, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 52 times (52-43-3).
• The Blue Jays have gone 59-39-0 ATS this season.

Yankees Player Leaders

• Aaron Judge leads New York with 128 hits and an OBP of .458, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .725. He's batting .352.
• Among qualified hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks first, his on-base percentage ranks first, and he is first in slugging.
• Judge hopes to build on a three-game hitting streak in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and three RBIs.
• Cody Bellinger is batting .280 with 18 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 29 walks. He's slugging .492 with an on-base percentage of .332.
• He ranks 35th in batting average, 73rd in on-base percentage and 24th in slugging among qualified hitters.
• Paul Goldschmidt is batting .289 with a .433 slugging percentage and 37 RBI this year.
• Goldschmidt enters this matchup with two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with three doubles, a walk and three RBIs.
• Trent Grisham is batting .255 with a .357 OBP and 38 RBI for New York this season.
• Grisham has safely hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with a double, a home run, four walks and five RBIs.

Blue Jays Player Leaders

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. a has .385 on-base percentage to lead the Blue Jays. He's batting .278 while slugging .439.
• Including all qualified players in the majors, he ranks 43rd in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage and 68th in slugging percentage.
• George Springer's 87 hits lead his team. He has a batting average of .279 while slugging .503 with an on-base percentage of .369.
• Including all qualified hitters, his batting average puts him 39th, his on-base percentage ranks 22nd, and he is 21st in slugging.
• Bo Bichette has a team-best .443 slugging percentage.
• Alejandro Kirk has nine doubles, seven home runs and 28 walks while hitting .306.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Head to Head

• 7/3/2025: 8-5 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 7/2/2025: 11-9 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 7/1/2025: 12-5 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
• 6/30/2025: 5-4 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 4/27/2025: 11-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
• 4/25/2025: 4-2 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
• 8/4/2024: 4-3 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -260, Underdog Moneyline: +215)
• 8/3/2024: 8-3 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -235, Underdog Moneyline: +194)
• 6/30/2024: 8-1 NYY (Favorite: Blue Jays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 6/29/2024: 9-3 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)

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