World Series Odds: Where Do Things Stand as We Approach the Halfway Point?
With the Midsummer Classic just two weeks away, we are nearing the halfway point of the 2023 Major League Baseball season. As of Monday morning (June 26), all clubs have completed at least 76 games, with three squads -- the Tampa Bay Rays, Colorado Rockies and Oakland Athletics -- having already crossed the 80-contest threshold.
Along with a few honorable mentions, here are the eight teams with the best odds to win it all, per the World Series odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, as well as numberFire's odds for each of the remaining teams to be champs.
Rank | Team | FanDuel Odds | nF Odds |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Atlanta Braves | +370 | 16.0% |
2 | Tampa Bay Rays | +450 | 18.9% |
3 | Los Angeles Dodgers | +470 | 14.1% |
4 | Houston Astros | +950 | 7.6% |
5 | Texas Rangers | +1000 | 5.7% |
6 | San Diego Padres | +2000 | 6.4% |
7 | New York Yankees | +2000 | 6.3% |
8 | Toronto Blue Jays | +2500 | 2.8% |
1. Atlanta Braves (+370)
As they have been throughout the majority of the 2023 season, the Atlanta Braves are currently first in the NL East with a record of 50-27. To begin the final week of June, the Braves are the only National League team that has reached the 50-win mark. Their stellar play in all phases of the game has held them as the most consistent team in MLB this year.
At .825, the Atlanta's team OPS is the very best in baseball right now. The Braves have also done well to score 428 runs through 77 games played, which is the third-most in the Majors and tops in the Senior Circuit.
The Braves are flush with talent -- much of it young -- at the moment. Behind sluggers such as Matt Olson, Ozzie Albies, Ronald Acuna and Austin Riley, Atlanta's has a loaded lineup, and the Braves' pitching staffed has not wavered.
Ace Spencer Strider (8-2) has been masterful in 2023, pacing all of baseball with 136 strikeouts. Bryce Elder -- whose 2.40 ERA is tops in the NL right now -- and Charlie Morton have also been very solid, helping to round out the starting rotation.
Atlanta is currently as hot as ever, losing only once in their past 10 contests. They recently cooled off the surging Cincinnati Reds after sweeping both the Philadelphia Phillies and Colorado Rockies. As it stands now, the Braves appears poised to make a run at their second World Series title in three years.
2. Tampa Bay Rays (+450)
Sitting at 54-27, the Tampa Bay Rays have led a hyper-competitive AL East for the entirety of 2023. Notably, their season started in historic fashion as Tampa was able to snap off 13 straight wins -- including sweeps of four different teams -- right out of the gate.
The Rays have scored 451 runs to date, which is good enough for the second-best total in the American League. In the power department, the Rays' 128 home runs are more than any other side in the AL. Their pitching has been quite effective, as well. The Rays' 4.01 expected fielding independent pitching (xFIP) is the seventh-best mark in all of baseball.
Shane McClanahan (11-1) and Zach Eflin (9-3) have been a two-headed monster on the mound for Tampa Bay. McClanahan currently boasts the most wins and best ERA (2.23) in the MLB, which has him at the second-shortest odds (+360) to win the AL Cy Young award, per the Cy Young odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Randy Arozarena, Yandy Diaz and Wander Franco are perpetuating the offense for Tampa Bay. In their last 10 games, the Rays have cooled some, splitting their contests during that span. Even over that sample, Tampa Bay is still scoring 5.0 runs per game.
They're clearly on of MLB's elite in 2023.
3. Los Angeles Dodgers (+470)
The Los Angeles Dodgers had proficient months in April and May but have struggled with "June Gloom." At the moment, the Dodgers are 43-34 (third in NL West), which absolutely keeps them in contention. But like Tampa Bay, the Boys in Blue have gone 5-5 over their most recent 10-game stretch to contribute to their 9-11 record in June.
Despite having won the NL West in 9 of the past 10 seasons, the Dodgers have begun to slide a bit compared to what they've been in recent campaigns.
With that said, Los Angeles still boasts the best run differential (+47) in the division. Their lineup may not be loaded with superstars in every spot, but the Dodgers are still powered by studs in Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman and Will Smith. Lefty slugger Max Muncy should also return soon from a hamstring injury.
Ultimately, the Dodgers have been one of the most banged-up sides in all of MLB this season. However, future Hall-of-Famer Clayton Kershaw (9-4) has done well to shoulder the load for the starting rotation. He is the only hurler for Los Angeles this year to make more than 10 starts and hold an ERA under 3.00.
Even with the Dodgers' poor play recently, oddsmakers respect the likes of Muncy, Chris Taylor, Walker Buehler, Dustin May and Trayce Thompson: all of whom are expected to be returning at some point in 2023. LA will head into the second half with the third-best title odds despite being in third in their division.
4. Houston Astros (+950)
As the reigning World Series champions, the Houston Astros are absolutely a threat to run it back. Through 78 games played in 2023, the Astros sit at 42-36, which has them slotted in second place in the AL West -- a division they've won in five of the past six years.
In 2023, the Astros have largely been led by their pitching staff. Right now, Houston's team ERA of 3.57 is the best figure in Major League Baseball. Framber Valdez and Cristian Javier have been rock solid for the 'Stros, as the former is currently the favorite at FanDuel Sportsbook (+270) to win the AL Cy Young Award. Hunter Brown has emerged as a top-notch starter, as well.
Yordan Alvarez is enjoying another fantastic year at the plate. Although he's currently out injured, Alvarez has popped 17 home runs while sporting a staggering OPS of .977 -- the latter figure is second-highest in the Majors behind only Shohei Ohtani.
Still, the Astros are currently struggling more than any other team on this list. Houston was recently swept by the Cincinnati Reds before losing two of three games at Dodger Stadium. In their last 10 contests, the Astros have gone 3-7.
The Astros will need to improve if they wish to catch the next team on this list and win the AL West.
5. Texas Rangers (+1000)
Conducting an impressive turnaround, manager Bruce Bochy ended his three-year retirement to coach in the American League for the first time. Through 77 games, the Texas Rangers are 47-30 atop a scrappy AL West. Along with Tampa Bay, the Rangers have arguably been the best team in the AL to this point.
Right now, Texas has the third-best team OPS (.795), which trails only the Braves and Rays. Slugging middle-infielders Corey Seager and Marcus Semien have been major contributors, both logging double-digit home runs and more than 40 RBI. That statement also applies to other members of the Rangers' lineup, such as Adolis Garcia, Josh Jung and Jonah Heim. Worth mentioning: at FanDuel Sportsbook, Seager currently yields the second-best odds (+3000) in the market to win the 2023 American League MVP award -- although Ohtani (-700) is a runaway favorite.
On the mound, Nathan Eovaldi (9-3) has been Texas' undisputed ace. With a skill-interactive ERA (SIERA) of 3.60, Eovaldi has performed noticeably better than his career average SIERA of 4.01. He's been a big reason why Texas has been able to keep surging despite the loss of Jacob deGrom.
Overall, Texas is a team with talent, veteran experience and foundational coaching. At +1000, the Rangers just might be the most intriguing bet to win the 2023 World Series.
6. San Diego Padres (+2000)
After a sluggish first two months of the 2023 season, the San Diego Padres still hold more than enough talent to turn their fortunes around.
Showcasing the second-highest payroll in the National League (and highest in the NL West) after the New York Mets, San Diego has managed just a 37-41 record this season. That leaves them in fourth place in the stout NL West.
With the likes of Fernando Tatis Jr., Juan Soto, Manny Machado, Ha-Seong Kim and Xander Bogaerts, the Friars are loaded on offense. However, even with all those flashy names, the Padres are ranked 16th in the team OPS (.720) department. To make matters worse, the other four teams in the NL West are all better than San Diego in that category.
There was a brief span in early June when the Padres seemed to be righting the ship, but they have still not won more than three consecutive games this year. In their most recent 10-game stretch, San Diego is 4-6, including a lost series against the lowly Washington Nationals.
San Diego boasts the best team ERA (3.70) in the National League, so the Padres' pitching has done its part.
If the Padres' offense can fulfill their potential, it will be interesting to see which direction the Friars trend in the second half. But with a 9.5-game deficit in the NL West, the Padres' path to a championship in 2023 will almost surely involve taking the Wild Card route.
7. New York Yankees (+2000)
As with any season, the New York Yankees came into 2023 with expectations of bringing home a World Series title. Naturally, the Bronx Bombers are one of the most demanding organizations in American sports.
All that considered, the Yanks are currently in one of their longest championship droughts in franchise history. It has been 13 years since New York won the World Series -- they have never gone more than 18 seasons between titles.
Unfortunately for the Yankees, they are currently competing in the best division in baseball; every team in the AL East is above .500. Right now, New York's 43-35 record has them in third place in the division, and Toronto is nipping at their heels.
Regardless, the Yankees still have plenty of pop. Behind reigning AL MVP Aaron Judge, New York -- as a team -- has hit the third-most homers (112) in the American League. Still, led by ace Gerrit Cole, it's been New York's pitching that has kept the squad in contention this season. The Yankees team ERA of 3.67 is fourth-best in the Majors.
Once Judge gets back, we could see the Yanks make a run, but like we just stated with San Diego, New York -- who is 9.5 games back of the Rays -- appears destined for no better than a Wild Card slot.
8. Toronto Blue Jays (+2500)
For the past couple seasons, the Toronto Blue Jays have showcased some of the game's most dynamic young talent. They are among the more fun teams to watch, but because of the cannibalizing AL East competition, the Jays have yet to make a real title run with this group.
Led by second-generation superstars Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette, Toronto currently has the fifth-highest team OPS (.752) in the AL. The Blue Jays are 5-5 in their past 10 contests but have done well to win back-to-back series against the Miami Marlins and Oakland Athletics most recently.
Toronto has collected 719 hits to this point. That is the third-highest total in Major League Baseball.
Kevin Gausman is having an elite season, possibly the best of his career. He sports a 31.5% strikeout rate and 3.08 SIERA, and he has the third-shortest odds (+480) to win the AL Cy Young. On top of that, Jose Berrios has bounced back from a down 2022, giving the Jays a sturdy one-two punch.
The Jays can make some noise in the postseason -- they just have to get there.
In the Hunt
2023 World Series odds, per FanDuel Sportsbook: San Francisco Giants (+3000), Minnesota Twins (+3000), Baltimore Orioles (+3000).
The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.