Wichita State vs South Florida Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for AAC Tournament

The No. 8 seed Wichita State Shockers (18-13, 8-10 AAC) and the No. 9 seed South Florida Bulls (13-18, 6-12 AAC) will look to move on in the AAC tournament on Thursday as they meet at 12:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Wichita State vs. South Florida Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 13, 2025
• Game time: 12:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPNU
• Location: Fort Worth, Texas
• Arena: Dickies Arena

Wichita State vs. South Florida Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Wichita State win (61.2%)

Wichita State is a 3.5-point favorite over South Florida on Thursday and the over/under has been set at 143.5 points. Here are a few betting trends and insights before you place a wager on the game.

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Wichita State vs. South Florida: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Wichita State has put together a 15-15-0 record against the spread this season.
• South Florida has put together a 9-21-0 ATS record so far this season.
• Wichita State (5-11) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 3.5 points or more this season (31.2%) than South Florida (4-8) does as a 3.5+-point underdog (33.3%).
• The Shockers have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered six times in 16 games at home, and they've covered seven times in 11 games when playing on the road.
• This season, the Bulls are 4-10-0 at home against the spread (.286 winning percentage). On the road, they are 5-7-0 ATS (.417).
• Wichita State's record against the spread in conference games is 9-9-0.
• South Florida's AAC record against the spread is 6-12-0.

Wichita State vs. South Florida: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Wichita State has been the moneyline favorite in 19 games this season and has come away with the win 12 times (63.2%) in those contests.
• The Shockers have a win-loss record of 9-6 when favored by -170 or better by oddsmakers this year.
• South Florida has won two of the 16 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (12.5%).
• When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +138 or longer, the Bulls have gone 1-10 (9.1%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Wichita State has a 63% chance of walking away with the win.

Wichita State vs. South Florida Head-to-Head Comparison

• Wichita State's +39 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 73.7 points per game (187th in college basketball) while giving up 72.4 per contest (200th in college basketball).
• Xavier Bell's team-leading 15.1 points per game ranks 254th in college basketball.
• South Florida has a +1 scoring differential, putting up 74.6 points per game (152nd in college basketball) and conceding 74.6 (260th in college basketball).
• Jamille Reynolds' team-leading 12.8 points per game rank him 563rd in the country.
• The Shockers pull down 34.8 rebounds per game (44th in college basketball) while allowing 30.5 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 4.3 boards per game.
• Quincy Ballard's 8.9 rebounds per game lead the Shockers and rank 37th in college basketball action.
• The Bulls are 220th in the country at 31.2 rebounds per game. That's 3.2 fewer than the 34.4 their opponents average.
• Reynolds averages 7.6 rebounds per game (91st in college basketball) to lead the Bulls.
• Wichita State ranks 237th in college basketball by averaging 93.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 143rd in college basketball, allowing 92.1 points per 100 possessions.
• The Bulls rank 219th in college basketball averaging 94.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 202nd, allowing 94.2 points per 100 possessions.

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