Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 6

Odds updated as of 11:13 a.m.
The Boston Red Sox versus the Washington Nationals is on the MLB schedule for Sunday.
Before you do any MLB betting on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's what you need to know.
Red Sox vs Nationals Game Info
- Boston Red Sox (45-45) vs. Washington Nationals (37-52)
- Date: Sunday, July 6, 2025
- Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
- Venue: Nationals Park -- Washington, District of Columbia
- Coverage: MASN and NESN
Red Sox vs Nationals Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: BOS: (-260) | WSH: (+215)
- Spread: BOS: -1.5 (-160) | WSH: +1.5 (+132)
- Total: 8 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (-100)
Red Sox vs Nationals Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Garrett Crochet (Red Sox) - 8-4, 2.34 ERA vs Shinnosuke Ogasawara (Nationals) - 0-0, 0.00 ERA
This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Red Sox will send Garrett Crochet (8-4) to the mound, while Shinnosuke Ogasawara will get the nod for the Nationals. When Crochet starts, his team is 9-9-0 against the spread this season. Crochet's team is 9-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. Ogasawara and his team were underdogs on the moneyline in every game he pitched a season ago.
Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Red Sox win (64.5%)
Red Sox vs Nationals Moneyline
- Washington is the underdog, +215 on the moneyline, while Boston is a -260 favorite despite being on the road.
Red Sox vs Nationals Spread
- The Nationals are +1.5 on the run line against the Red Sox. The Nationals are +132 to cover, and the Red Sox are -160.
Red Sox vs Nationals Over/Under
- The Red Sox-Nationals contest on July 6 has been given an over/under of 8 runs. The over is set at -122 and the under at -100.
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Red Sox vs Nationals Betting Trends
- The Red Sox have been victorious in 28, or 50.9%, of the 55 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
- This season Boston has come away with a win two times in three chances when named as a favorite of at least -260 on the moneyline.
- The Red Sox and their opponents have hit the over in 43 of their 89 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 89 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 46-43-0 against the spread.
- The Nationals have been the moneyline underdog 67 total times this season. They've finished 32-35 in those games.
- Washington has played as a moneyline underdog of +215 or longer in only two games this season, which it split 1-1.
- The Nationals have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 46 times this season for a 46-38-1 record against the over/under.
- The Nationals have covered 52.9% of their games this season, going 45-40-0 ATS.
Red Sox Player Leaders
- Jarren Duran leads Boston with a slugging percentage of .416, fueled by 38 extra-base hits. He has a .255 batting average and an on-base percentage of .312.
- Among the qualified hitters in MLB, his batting average ranks 88th, his on-base percentage ranks 109th, and he is 87th in slugging.
- Duran hopes to build on a six-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .237 with three doubles, two triples, a home run, five walks and six RBIs.
- Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .257 with 19 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 15 walks. He's slugging .438 with an on-base percentage of .301.
- He is 80th in batting average, 125th in on-base percentage and 68th in slugging in the majors.
- Rafaela brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .316 with five doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBIs.
- Wilyer Abreu has 65 hits and an OBP of .326, both of which lead the Red Sox this season.
- Trevor Story has been key for Boston with 84 hits, an OBP of .293 plus a slugging percentage of .402.
- Story takes a seven-game hitting streak into this game. In his last 10 outings he is batting .385 with four doubles, two home runs, two walks and 12 RBIs.
Nationals Player Leaders
- James Wood has put up a team-high OBP (.391) and slugging percentage (.553), while leading the Nationals in hits (96, while batting .288).
- Including all qualified players in the majors, he ranks 26th in batting average, fifth in on-base percentage and eighth in slugging percentage.
- C.J. Abrams is hitting .286 with 18 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 24 walks. He's slugging .484 with an on-base percentage of .357.
- His batting average ranks 29th among all qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks 33rd, and he is 34th in slugging.
- Luis Garcia is hitting .265 with 19 doubles, seven home runs and 16 walks.
- Nathaniel Lowe is batting .234 with 14 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.
Red Sox vs Nationals Head to Head
- 7/5/2025: 10-3 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
- 7/4/2025: 11-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
- 5/12/2024: 3-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
- 5/11/2024: 4-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
- 5/10/2024: 5-1 WSH (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -220, Underdog Moneyline: +184)
- 8/17/2023: 10-7 WSH (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -186, Underdog Moneyline: +156)
- 8/16/2023: 6-2 WSH (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
- 8/15/2023: 5-4 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
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