Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 4

Odds updated as of 2:12 a.m.

The Boston Red Sox versus the Washington Nationals is on the MLB schedule for Friday.

Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's what you need to know.

Red Sox vs Nationals Game Info

• Boston Red Sox (43-45) vs. Washington Nationals (37-50)
• Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
• Time: 11:05 a.m. ET
• Venue: Nationals Park -- Washington, District of Columbia
• Coverage: MLB Network, MASN, and NESN

Red Sox vs Nationals Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BOS: (-116) | WSH: (-102)
• Spread: BOS: -1.5 (+146) | WSH: +1.5 (-176)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

Red Sox vs Nationals Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Lucas Giolito (Red Sox) - 4-1, 3.99 ERA vs Mike Soroka (Nationals) - 3-5, 4.70 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Red Sox will send Lucas Giolito (4-1) to the mound, while Mike Soroka (3-5) will take the ball for the Nationals. Giolito's team is 7-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Giolito's team has a record of 3-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline. The Nationals have gone 5-6-0 ATS in Soroka's 11 starts that had a set spread. The Nationals have a 3-7 record in Soroka's 10 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Nationals win (51.2%)

Red Sox vs Nationals Moneyline

• Washington is the underdog, -102 on the moneyline, while Boston is a -116 favorite despite being on the road.

Red Sox vs Nationals Spread

• The Red Sox are favored by 1.5 runs on the road versus the Nationals. The Red Sox are +146 to cover the spread, while the Nationals are -176.

Red Sox vs Nationals Over/Under

• A combined run total of 8.5 has been set for Red Sox-Nationals on July 4, with the over at -105 and the under at -115.

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Red Sox vs Nationals Betting Trends

• The Red Sox have come away with 26 wins in the 53 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• This season Boston has come away with a win 25 times in 48 chances when named as a favorite of at least -116 on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox's games have gone over the total in 41 of their 87 opportunities.
• The Red Sox have posted a record of 44-43-0 against the spread this season.
• The Nationals have won 49.2% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (32-33).
• Washington has a 30-31 record (winning 49.2% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of -102 or longer.
• The Nationals have played in 83 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 44 times (44-38-1).
• The Nationals have a 45-38-0 record against the spread this season.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Jarren Duran leads Boston in slugging percentage (.409) thanks to 36 extra-base hits. He has a .253 batting average and an on-base percentage of .312.
• Among all qualified hitters, he is 89th in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 109th, and he is 95th in slugging.
• Duran will look for his fifth straight game with a hit in this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with a double, a triple, a home run, four walks and an RBI.
• Wilyer Abreu leads the Red Sox in OBP (.329) and total hits (65) this season. He's batting .261 while slugging .506.
• He is 70th in batting average, 76th in on-base percentage and 20th in slugging among qualifying hitters.
• Abreu has picked up a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .350 with a double, four home runs, a walk and 12 RBIs.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has 72 hits this season and has a slash line of .254/.300/.424.
• Trevor Story has been key for Boston with 79 hits, an OBP of .286 plus a slugging percentage of .389.
• Story heads into this game on a five-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is batting .474 with four doubles, a home run, two walks and six RBIs.

Nationals Player Leaders

• James Wood has racked up 96 hits with a .395 on-base percentage and a .563 slugging percentage, all club-highs for the Nationals. He's batting .294.
• Including all the qualified hitters in the big leagues, his batting average is 16th, his on-base percentage is fifth, and he is fifth in slugging.
• Wood hopes to build on a six-game hitting streak in this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .417 with two home runs, 11 walks and 10 RBIs.
• C.J. Abrams has 18 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 23 walks while hitting .286. He's slugging .488 with an on-base percentage of .356.
• He is 31st in batting average, 43rd in on-base percentage and 31st in slugging percentage in the majors.
• Luis Garcia is batting .272 with 19 doubles, seven home runs and 16 walks.
• Nathaniel Lowe has 14 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 31 walks while hitting .230.

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