Padres vs Rangers Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 4

Odds updated as of 6:11 a.m.
MLB action on Friday includes the San Diego Padres facing the Texas Rangers.
Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the most important info about this game.
Padres vs Rangers Game Info
- San Diego Padres (46-40) vs. Texas Rangers (43-44)
- Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
- Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Venue: PETCO Park -- San Diego, California
- Coverage: MLB Network, SDPA, and CW33
Padres vs Rangers Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: SD: (-120) | TEX: (+102)
- Spread: SD: +1.5 (-192) | TEX: -1.5 (+158)
- Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (-100)
Padres vs Rangers Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Randy Vasquez (Padres) - 3-4, 3.84 ERA vs Kumar Rocker (Rangers) - 3-4, 6.13 ERA
The probable starters are Randy Vasquez (3-4) for the Padres and Kumar Rocker (3-4) for the Rangers. Vasquez's team is 9-7-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Vasquez and his team have won each of the five games he's started as the moneyline favorite. When Rocker starts, the Rangers are 4-5-0 against the spread. The Rangers have a 3-3 record in Rocker's six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
Padres vs Rangers Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Padres win (50.3%)
Padres vs Rangers Moneyline
- The moneyline numbers for Padres vs. Rangers reveal San Diego as the favorite (-120) and Texas as the underdog (+102) on the road.
Padres vs Rangers Spread
- The Rangers are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Padres. The Rangers are +158 to cover, while the Padres are -192 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.
Padres vs Rangers Over/Under
- A total of 8.5 runs has been set for the Padres-Rangers game on July 4, with the over available at -122 and the under at -100.
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Padres vs Rangers Betting Trends
- The Padres have been favorites in 42 games this season and have come away with the win 26 times (61.9%) in those contests.
- This season San Diego has been victorious 23 times in 36 chances when named as a favorite of at least -120 on the moneyline.
- The Padres' games have gone over the total in 35 of their 85 opportunities.
- The Padres are 45-40-0 against the spread in their 85 games that had a posted line this season.
- The Rangers have won 31.8% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (14-30).
- Texas is 11-24 (winning only 31.4% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +102 or longer.
- The Rangers have combined with opponents to go over the total 31 times this season for a 31-54-1 record against the over/under.
- The Rangers have covered 52.3% of their games this season, going 45-41-0 against the spread.
Padres Player Leaders
- Manny Machado has 95 hits and an OBP of .351 to go with a slugging percentage of .471. All three of those stats rank first among San Diego hitters this season. He has a .289 batting average, as well.
- He is 24th in batting average, 48th in on-base percentage, and 45th in slugging among all qualified hitters in the majors.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has 84 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .351. He's batting .261 and slugging .441.
- Among all qualifying batters, he is 70th in batting average, 48th in on-base percentage and 67th in slugging percentage.
- Tatis has picked up at least one hit in five straight games. In his last five games he is batting .300 with three walks and an RBI.
- Luis Arraez has collected 91 base hits, an OBP of .312 and a slugging percentage of .393 this season.
- Gavin Sheets is batting .261 with a .319 OBP and 49 RBI for San Diego this season.
Rangers Player Leaders
- Marcus Semien is hitting .238 with 10 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 36 walks. He's slugging .363 with an on-base percentage of .316.
- Including all qualified hitters, he ranks 123rd in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 104th and he is 140th in slugging.
- Semien brings an eight-game hitting streak into this game. During his last 10 games he is hitting .302 with two doubles, two home runs, five walks and eight RBIs.
- Josh Smith's .356 OBP and .419 slugging percentage are both team-highs. He has a batting average of .287.
- Including all qualifying players, his batting average puts him 27th, his on-base percentage is 43rd, and he is 84th in slugging.
- Adolis Garcia is batting .232 with 18 doubles, 10 home runs and 18 walks.
- Corey Seager is hitting .249 with eight doubles, 11 home runs and 29 walks.
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