Phillies vs Reds Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 4

Odds updated as of 1:14 a.m.

The Friday schedule in MLB includes a matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Cincinnati Reds.

Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.

Phillies vs Reds Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies (51-36) vs. Cincinnati Reds (45-42)
• Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
• Time: 1:05 p.m. ET
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park -- Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Coverage: NBCS-PH and FDSOH

Phillies vs Reds Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: PHI: (-162) | CIN: (+136)
• Spread: PHI: -1.5 (+125) | CIN: +1.5 (-150)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

Phillies vs Reds Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Jesús Luzardo (Phillies) - 7-4, 4.06 ERA vs Andrew Abbott (Reds) - 7-1, 1.79 ERA

The Phillies will give the ball to Jesus Luzardo (7-4, 4.06 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 8 on the season, and the Reds will turn to Andrew Abbott (7-1, 1.79 ERA). Luzardo and his team are 7-9-0 ATS this season when he starts. Luzardo's team is 9-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. The Reds have gone 8-5-0 ATS in Abbott's 13 starts that had a set spread. The Reds have been the underdog on the moneyline in five of Abbott's starts this season, and they went 4-1 in those games.

Phillies vs Reds Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Phillies win (56%)

Phillies vs Reds Moneyline

• Cincinnati is the underdog, +136 on the moneyline, while Philadelphia is a -162 favorite at home.

Phillies vs Reds Spread

• The Phillies are 1.5-run home favorites on the runline against the Reds. The Phillies are +125 to cover, and the Reds are -150.

Phillies vs Reds Over/Under

• An over/under of 8.5 has been set for Phillies-Reds on July 4, with the over being -105 and the under -115.

Bet on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds on FanDuel today!

Phillies vs Reds Betting Trends

• The Phillies have been chosen as favorites in 64 games this year and have walked away with the win 43 times (67.2%) in those games.
• Philadelphia has a record of 25-7 in contests when bookmakers favor them by -162 or more on the moneyline.
• The Phillies and their opponents have gone over in 32 of their 82 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 82 games with a line this season, the Phillies have a mark of 42-40-0 against the spread.
• The Reds have gone 25-23 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 52.1% of those games).
• Cincinnati has a 5-7 record (winning 41.7% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +136 or longer.
• The Reds have played in 82 games with a set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 37 times (37-42-3).
• The Reds have a 43-39-0 record ATS this season (covering 52.4% of the time).

Phillies Player Leaders

• Kyle Schwarber leads Philadelphia in OBP (.380) and total hits (78) this season. He's batting .247 batting average while slugging .532.
• Among qualifying hitters in the majors, he is 108th in batting average, 13th in on-base percentage, and 12th in slugging.
• Trea Turner has hit 11 homers this season while driving in 39 runs. He's batting .297 this season and slugging .451 with an on-base percentage of .351.
• Among qualified hitters, his batting average ranks him 11th, his on-base percentage 48th, and his slugging percentage 60th.
• Turner brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .211 with two walks and two RBIs.
• Nick Castellanos is batting .279 with a .445 slugging percentage and 46 RBI this year.
• Alec Bohm has seven home runs, 38 RBI and a batting average of .283 this season.
• Bohm has safely hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a double, a triple, two walks and two RBIs.

Reds Player Leaders

• Elly De La Cruz has 92 hits with a .493 slugging percentage, both team-high numbers for the Reds. He's batting .275 and with an on-base percentage of .349.
• Including all the qualified hitters in the big leagues, he is 48th in batting average, 53rd in on-base percentage and 27th in slugging percentage.
• TJ Friedl paces his team with a .371 OBP. He has a batting average of .281 while slugging .413.
• His batting average is 41st among all qualified players, his on-base percentage is 22nd, and he is 91st in slugging.
• Spencer Steer has 13 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 21 walks while batting .252.
• Gavin Lux has 16 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 36 walks while batting .269.

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