2 Best NFL Player Prop Bets for Patriots at Broncos

Even within a single NFL game, betting markets are abundant.

You've got everything from spreads and totals to touchdown scorers and player props at your disposal. It can be a lot to sort through.

Using the NFL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook as a guide, here are the best prop bets for Sunday's AFC Championship Game between the New England Patriots and Denver Broncos.

All NFL projections via our numbers at FanDuel Research, and NFL odds references are to FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

Patriots vs. Broncos Props for AFC Championship

Jarrett Stidham Over 13.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

It's hard telling what we're going to get from Jarrett Stidham on Sunday. But he can scoot a bit, and I like him to go over 13.5 rushing yards.

Stidham has made only four starts in his career, and he's totaled rushing yardage outputs of 34, 50, two and six. He's been all over the map, but he's shown he has some rushing juice.

The Pats' defense has been incredible through two playoff games, and they've made life miserable for both Justin Herbert and C.J. Stroud by generating a lot of pressure. If New England can keep that up this week, it could lead to some scrambling opportunities for Stidham. That's exactly how it played out for Herbert, who ran 10 times for 57 yards against New England in the Wild Card Round.

Also, a potential negative game script -- Denver is a 4.5-point home 'dog -- could lead to more drops backs and more chances to scramble for Stidham.

All in all, I think Stidham is capable of clearing this rushing prop and am also intrigued by a couple of Stidham's alternate rushing markets, specifically Stidham to run for 20+ yards at +172 odds.

Stefon Diggs Under 44.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

The Broncos' elite pass defense is a rough matchup for Stefon Diggs, who has faded to the background of the Pats' aerial attack lately.

Over the last eight games, Diggs has gone for 45-plus receiving yards just twice. Through two playoff games, he's hauled in only six total passes for a combined 56 yards.

He's also seen his snap rates fall. Diggs hasn't played more than 63% of the snaps in a game since Week 11. He was in on just 55% of the snaps in the Divisional Round while Kayshon Boutte played 83% of the snaps.

And we haven't even gotten into how good Denver's defense is. Our schedule-adjusted metrics rank the Broncos fifth against the pass, and they surrendered the fewest net yards per pass attempt (4.8) this season.

In a game where the Pats may not need to do a ton on offense -- similar to the past two weeks -- Diggs should have a tough time going over his receiving yards prop.

Check out our printable 2025-26 NFL Playoff bracket.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.