Purdue vs Michigan Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big Ten Tournament

The No. 6 seed Purdue Boilermakers (22-10, 13-7 Big Ten) are taking on the No. 3 seed Michigan Wolverines (22-9, 14-6 Big Ten) in the Big Ten tournament on Friday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, at 9 p.m. ET airing on Big Ten Network.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Purdue vs. Michigan Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 14, 2025
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Big Ten Network
• Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
• Arena: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Purdue vs. Michigan Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Purdue win (58.3%)

To help you make an informed wager on Purdue-Michigan matchup (in which Purdue is a 2.5-point favorite and the total has been set at 147.5 points), keep reading for some betting trends and insights for Friday's game.

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Purdue vs. Michigan: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Purdue has covered 17 times in 32 matchups with a spread this season.
• Michigan has won 12 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 18 times.
• Purdue covers the spread when it is a 2.5-point favorite or more 58.3% of the time. That's more often than Michigan covers as an underdog of 2.5 or more (50%).
• The Boilermakers have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered 10 times in 16 opportunities at home, and they've covered six times in 11 opportunities in road games.
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Wolverines have a lower winning percentage at home (.333, 5-10-0 record) than on the road (.500, 5-5-0).
• Purdue's record against the spread in conference play is 13-8-0.
• Michigan's Big Ten record against the spread is 5-14-0.

Purdue vs. Michigan: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Purdue has been victorious in 20, or 83.3%, of the 24 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Boilermakers have a mark of 20-4 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -130 or better on the moneyline.
• Michigan has been the moneyline underdog five total times this season. Michigan has gone 3-2 in those games.
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +108 or longer, the Wolverines have a record of 2-2 (50%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Purdue has a 56.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Purdue vs. Michigan Head-to-Head Comparison

• Purdue outscores opponents by 7.6 points per game (scoring 78.2 per game to rank 75th in college basketball while allowing 70.6 per outing to rank 134th in college basketball) and has a +242 scoring differential overall.
• Trey Kaufman-Renn's team-leading 20.1 points per game ranks 15th in the country.
• Michigan outscores opponents by 6.9 points per game (posting 78.5 points per game, 69th in college basketball, and conceding 71.6 per contest, 170th in college basketball) and has a +214 scoring differential.
• Vladislav Goldin leads Michigan, recording 16.7 points per game (138th in college basketball).
• The Boilermakers win the rebound battle by 1.4 boards on average. They record 29.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 314th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 28.2 per contest.
• Kaufman-Renn's 6.2 rebounds per game lead the Boilermakers and rank 276th in college basketball action.
• The Wolverines are 51st in the country at 34.6 rebounds per game. That's 5.1 more than the 29.5 their opponents average.
• Danny Wolf averages 9.7 rebounds per game (13th in college basketball) to lead the Wolverines.
• Purdue averages 105.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (17th in college basketball), and allows 95 points per 100 possessions (228th in college basketball).
• The Wolverines rank 133rd in college basketball with 97.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 66th defensively with 88.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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