Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for AL Wild Card Game 3 on Oct. 2

Odds updated as of 7:12 p.m.

The New York Yankees versus the Boston Red Sox in Game 3 of the AL Wild Card Series is on the MLB schedule for Thursday.

Before you do any MLB betting on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's what you need to know.

Yankees vs Red Sox Game Info

• New York Yankees (94-68) vs. Boston Red Sox (89-73)
• Date: Thursday, October 2, 2025
• Time: 8:08 p.m. ET
• Venue: Yankee Stadium -- The Bronx, New York
• Coverage: ESPN

Yankees vs Red Sox Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYY: (-158) | BOS: (+134)
• Spread: NYY: -1.5 (+140) | BOS: +1.5 (-170)
• Total: 7.5 -- Over: (-102) | Under: (-120)

Yankees vs Red Sox Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Cam Schlittler (Yankees) - 4-3, 2.96 ERA vs Connelly Early (Red Sox) - 1-2, 2.33 ERA

The Yankees will give the nod to Cam Schlittler (4-3, 2.96 ERA) against the Red Sox and Connelly Early (1-2, 2.33 ERA). Schlittler's team is 7-6-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Schlittler's team has been victorious in 70% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 7-3. The Red Sox have a 2-2-0 record against the spread in Early's starts. The Red Sox have not been a moneyline underdog when Early starts this season.

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yankees win (57.3%)

Yankees vs Red Sox Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Yankees-Red Sox, New York is the favorite at -158, and Boston is +134 playing on the road.

Yankees vs Red Sox Spread

• The Yankees are 1.5-run home favorites on the runline against the Red Sox. The Yankees are +140 to cover, and the Red Sox are -170.

Yankees vs Red Sox Over/Under

• An over/under of 7.5 has been set for Yankees-Red Sox on Oct. 2, with the over being -102 and the under -120.

Bet on New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox on FanDuel today!

Yankees vs Red Sox Betting Trends

• The Yankees have come away with 86 wins in the 140 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• New York has a record of 51-25 in contests when sportsbooks favor them by -158 or more on the moneyline.
• The Yankees' games have gone over the total in 76 of their 162 opportunities.
• The Yankees have posted a record of 76-86-0 against the spread this season.
• The Red Sox are 26-29 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 47.3% of those games).
• Boston is 8-10 (winning 44.4% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +134 or longer.
• The Red Sox have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 163 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 74 of those games (74-82-7).
• The Red Sox are 89-74-0 ATS this season.

Yankees Player Leaders

• Aaron Judge has 179 hits and an OBP of .457 to go with a slugging percentage of .688. All three of those stats are tops among New York hitters this season. He has a .331 batting average, as well.
• He ranks first in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and first in slugging among all qualified batters in baseball.
• Judge will look for his eighth straight game with a hit in this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .417 with a double, five home runs, eight walks and 11 RBIs.
• Cody Bellinger has 25 doubles, five triples, 29 home runs and 57 walks. He's batting .272 and slugging .480 with an on-base percentage of .334.
• Among qualifying batters, he is 36th in batting average, 61st in on-base percentage and 29th in slugging percentage.
• Bellinger has picked up at least one hit in seven games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .278 with seven walks and an RBI.
• Trent Grisham is batting .235 with a .465 slugging percentage and 74 RBI this year.
• Ben Rice has 26 home runs, 65 RBI and a batting average of .255 this season.
• Rice has safely hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with a triple, three home runs, two walks and five RBIs.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Jarren Duran has put up a team-best OBP (.332), and leads the Red Sox in hits (159). He's batting .256 and slugging.
• Including all the qualifying hitters in MLB, his batting average is 77th, his on-base percentage ranks 68th, and he is 63rd in slugging.
• Trevor Story paces his team with a .433 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .263 with an on-base percentage of .308.
• Including all qualified players, his batting average puts him 58th, his on-base percentage is 112th, and he is 73rd in slugging.
• Alex Bregman has 28 doubles, 18 home runs and 51 walks while batting .273.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .249 with 34 doubles, four triples, 16 home runs and 28 walks.

Yankees vs Red Sox Head to Head

• 10/1/2025: 4-3 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -190, Underdog Moneyline: +160)
• 9/30/2025: 3-1 BOS (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 9/14/2025: 6-4 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 9/13/2025: 5-3 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
• 9/12/2025: 4-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 8/24/2025: 7-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
• 8/23/2025: 12-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 8/22/2025: 1-0 BOS (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -196, Underdog Moneyline: +164)
• 8/21/2025: 6-3 BOS (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
• 6/15/2025: 2-0 BOS (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -184, Underdog Moneyline: +154)

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