Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for AL Wild Card Game 1 on Sept. 30

Odds updated as of 5:12 p.m.

The New York Yankees will face the Boston Red Sox for Game 1 of the AL Wild Card Series on Tuesday.

Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the most important info regarding this game.

Yankees vs Red Sox Game Info

• New York Yankees (94-68) vs. Boston Red Sox (89-73)
• Date: Tuesday, September 30, 2025
• Time: 6:08 p.m. ET
• Venue: Yankee Stadium -- The Bronx, New York
• Coverage: ESPN

Yankees vs Red Sox Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYY: (-138) | BOS: (+118)
• Spread: NYY: -1.5 (+162) | BOS: +1.5 (-196)
• Total: 6.5 -- Over: (-124) | Under: (+102)

Yankees vs Red Sox Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Max Fried (Yankees) - 19-5, 2.86 ERA vs Garrett Crochet (Red Sox) - 18-5, 2.59 ERA

The probable starters are Max Fried (19-5, 2.86 ERA) for the Yankees and Garrett Crochet (18-5, 2.59 ERA) for the Red Sox. Fried and his team are 19-13-0 ATS this season when he starts. Fried's team is 22-10 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. When Crochet starts, the Red Sox are 19-13-0 against the spread. The Red Sox were the underdog on the moneyline for one Crochet start this season -- they won.

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yankees win (58.5%)

Yankees vs Red Sox Moneyline

• Boston is a +118 underdog on the moneyline, while New York is a -138 favorite at home.

Yankees vs Red Sox Spread

• The Yankees are hosting the Red Sox and are favored by 1.5 runs on the spread. The Yankees are +162 to cover the runline, with the Red Sox being -196.

Yankees vs Red Sox Over/Under

• Yankees versus Red Sox on Sept. 30 has an over/under of 6.5 runs, with the odds on the over -124 and the under set at +102.

Bet on New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox on FanDuel today!

Yankees vs Red Sox Betting Trends

• The Yankees have been favorites in 138 games this season and have come away with the win 85 times (61.6%) in those contests.
• This year New York has won 69 of 105 games when listed as at least -138 on the moneyline.
• Contests with the Yankees have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 76 of 160 chances this season.
• The Yankees are 76-84-0 against the spread in their 160 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Red Sox have gone 25-28 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 47.2% of those games).
• Boston is 11-15 (winning 42.3% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +118 or longer.
• The Red Sox have played in 161 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 74 times (74-80-7).
• The Red Sox have covered 54% of their games this season, going 87-74-0 against the spread.

Yankees Player Leaders

• Aaron Judge leads New York with 179 hits and an OBP of .457, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .688. He's batting .331.
• Among all qualifying batters in baseball, he ranks first in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and first in slugging.
• Judge hopes to build on a five-game hitting streak in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .500 with a double, four home runs, four walks and nine RBIs.
• Cody Bellinger is hitting .272 with 25 doubles, five triples, 29 home runs and 57 walks. He's slugging .480 with an on-base percentage of .334.
• Among all qualified, he is 36th in batting average, 61st in on-base percentage and 29th in slugging percentage.
• Bellinger enters this matchup looking to extend his five-game hit streak. During his last five outings he is hitting .375 with five walks and an RBI.
• Trent Grisham has collected 116 base hits, an OBP of .348 and a slugging percentage of .465 this season.
• Ben Rice has been key for New York with 119 hits, an OBP of .337 plus a slugging percentage of .499.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Jarren Duran has an on-base percentage of .332 and has 159 hits, both team-best figures for the Red Sox. He's batting .256 and slugging .442.
• He is 77th in batting average, 68th in on-base percentage and 63rd in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters in the big leagues.
• Duran brings a three-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .143 with two doubles, a walk and two RBIs.
• Trevor Story leads his team with a .433 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .263 with an on-base percentage of .308.
• Including all qualified players, he ranks 58th in batting average, 112th in on-base percentage and 73rd in slugging percentage.
• Alex Bregman is hitting .273 with 28 doubles, 18 home runs and 51 walks.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .249 with 34 doubles, four triples, 16 home runs and 28 walks.

Yankees vs Red Sox Head to Head

• 9/14/2025: 6-4 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 9/13/2025: 5-3 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
• 9/12/2025: 4-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 8/24/2025: 7-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
• 8/23/2025: 12-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 8/22/2025: 1-0 BOS (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -196, Underdog Moneyline: +164)
• 8/21/2025: 6-3 BOS (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
• 6/15/2025: 2-0 BOS (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -184, Underdog Moneyline: +154)
• 6/14/2025: 4-3 BOS (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
• 6/13/2025: 2-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)

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