Women's World Cup Betting: A Top-10 Face-off Headlines Saturday's Slate
Group stage action at the 2023 Women's World Cup continues on Saturday with three matches scheduled early for North American time zones.
Both Group F and Group G could see their top teams decided after Saturday, with the top-ranked teams in both groups squaring off.
Let's dive right into Saturday's slate.
All World Cup odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook:
Time (EST) | Home | Draw | Away |
---|---|---|---|
3:30 AM | Sweden (-115) | +210 | Italy (+370) |
6:00 AM | France (+165) | +210 | Brazil (+170) |
8:30 AM | Panama (+470) | +230 | Jamaica (-145) |
Sweden vs. Italy
Both Sweden and Italy won their first matches, and considering they're Group G's two highest-ranked teams in FIFA's rankings, this match could very well decide the group's winner.
Third-ranked Sweden enters as the favorite to win outright at -115. It took nearly all 90 minutes for them to come away with a victory in their first match. Amanda Ilestedt netted an 89th-minute header off a corner to secure a 2-1 victory over South Africa and put them in position to win the group on Saturday.
Sweden's 11th corner may have just sealed the victory!
— FOX Soccer (@FOXSoccer) July 23, 2023
Amanda Ilestedt gives the Blue and Yellow the 2-1 lead over South Africa 🇸🇪 pic.twitter.com/iQjHHWo1cg
Sweden deserved to win, finishing their opening match with 2.3 expected goals (xG) compared to South Africa's 1.2 xG. Despite a downpour throughout the game, Sweden manage to avoid being upset by the 54th-ranked team in the world.
They may have avoided a monstrous upset in the opener, but Sweden likely still has some work to do if they want to come away with three points against Italy. They were kept scoreless through the first half, as their usually-pristine offense couldn't finish against a surprisingly-sound South African defense.
Trailing 1-0, Fridolina Rolfo scored a 65th-minute equalizer to even the score. Although they out-cornered South Africa 13-1, they couldn't find the net with just 6 of their 15 shots on goal.
On the opposite side, Italy, too, had to wait until the waning minutes to come out ahead in their opener. With the match tied at 0-0, Cristiana Girelli scored on a header in the 87th minute to give Italy a win and three points.
A stunning cross from Lisa Boattin led to that absolutely class finish from the substitute, Girelli. Italy's leading goal scorer had come onto the pitch just four minutes prior in what was a brilliant managerial decision from Milena Bertolini.
Italy had a slight advantage in possession (53%-47%) but dominated in shots, 12-5. The 16th-ranked team in the world picked up a crucial three points ahead of their potentially group-deciding match with Sweden.
Although Sweden is still the favorite to win the group (-250), their lackluster performance in the opener, coupled with both teams' passive, defensive styles certainly brings attention to the draw (+210) in a match neither side can afford to lose.
France vs. Brazil
In what may be the single-best match of the entire group stage, fifth-ranked France takes on eighth-ranked Brazil.
France was stunned by Jamaica in the opener as the 43rd-ranked Jamaicans held them to a scoreless draw.
Despite dominating possession 72%-28%, France managed just five shots on goal in 14 attempts. They had ample opportunities to score off set pieces but couldn't get it done in 12 corners.
It was a disappointing result for France, who had won 13 consecutive international competitions over the last two years before losing to Australia in a friendly just prior to the World Cup.
That result also puts a ton of pressure on France ahead of Saturday's match, and they are now +135 to win the group after entering as -175 favorites.
Brazil had no such trouble in their opener.
SHE'S BECOMING INEVITABLE 🇧🇷
— FOX Soccer (@FOXSoccer) July 24, 2023
HAT TRICK ARY BORGES 🎩 pic.twitter.com/FyGaLErHEo
An Ary Borges hat trick propelled Brazil to a dominant 4-0 win over 52nd-ranked Panama. Although it was the 23-year-old's World Cup debut, she has already made her mark on the event. Borges has seen her Golden Boot odds skyrocket as a result of the hat trick. Heading into Saturday, she is tied for the second-shortest odds to be the competition's top goal scorer at +650.
Like France, Brazil dominated possession by 73%-27%. However, unlike France, Brazil attempted an array of shots -- 32 to be exact. That staggering number resulted in 10 shots on goal, while they additionally dominated corners 13-1.
Despite that, France still enters as a slight favorite -- though, both teams have essentially the same odds to come out ahead.
It's worth noting that France has won three consecutive matches head-to-head against Brazil -- including a 2-1 decision in February 2022.
Panama vs. Jamaica
After their draw against France in the opener, Jamaica has at least given themselves a chance at advancing out of an incredibly tough Group F.
They'll need to wake up their offense if they want to do so, however, as they managed just six shots (two on goal) in their opening draw against France. In addition to a measly two corners, the Jamaican offense clearly has some work to do if they want to rack up a strong goal differential prior to their finale against Brazil.
Jamaica had previously lost four consecutive international competitions dating back to last fall. Including their 0-0 draw against France, they have scored just two goals across their last five matches.
On the other side, Panama will look to regroup following a 4-0 loss to Brazil. That marked their second consecutive blowout loss after dropping a friendly to Japan 5-0 right before World Cup play began.
Panama struggled mightily to generate any sort of momentum on offense. They attempted just six goals in the loss, only two of which were on target. That was largely thanks to a lack of possession, as they held the ball just 27% of the match compared to Brazil's 73%.
Considering both teams have struggled so much on offense, the +230 draw certainly looks intriguing -- but Panama remains a heavy underdog at +470.
Both teams face an uphill battle in their pursuit of qualification. Jamaica has a better shot at +600, while Panama sits all the way at +10000.
This will be just the second all-time meeting between the two countries. In a 2018 Concacaf match, they drew 2-2.
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