Warriors vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 2

Warriors vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Friday, January 2, 2026
• Time: 10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Chase Center -- San Francisco, California
• Coverage: Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and FDSOK

A pair of the league's top scorers take the court when Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (second, 32.1 PPG) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (29-5) visit Stephen Curry (ninth, 28.7 PPG) and the Golden State Warriors (18-16) on Friday, January 2, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and FDSOK. The Thunder are 9-point favorites. The matchup has an over/under of 227.5 points.

Warriors vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Warriors vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (55.2%)

Warriors vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread 18 times over 34 games with a set spread.
• Against the spread, the Warriors are 15-18-1 this year.
• This season, 18 of the Thunder's games have gone over the point total.
• Warriors games this season have gone over the total in 20 of 34 opportunities (58.8%).
• At home, Oklahoma City owns a better record against the spread (11-8-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (7-8-0).
• The Thunder have eclipsed the over/under in a lower percentage of home games (52.6%) than road games (53.3%).
• Golden State's winning percentage against the spread at home is .500 (7-6-1). On the road, it is .400 (8-12-0).
• In terms of the over/under, Warriors games have gone over less frequently at home (eight of 14, 57.1%) than on the road (12 of 20, 60%).

Thunder Leaders

• Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.1 points, 4.7 boards and 6.4 assists.
• Chet Holmgren is averaging 18.3 points, 1.6 assists and 8.0 boards.
• Ajay Mitchell is averaging 14.1 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.6 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.5 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Cason Wallace averages 8.0 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.3 assists, shooting 42.6% from the field and 36.6% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Jalen Williams averages 17.2 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.6 assists, shooting 45.2% from the field.

Warriors Leaders

• Per game, Jimmy Butler III gives the Warriors 19.7 points, 5.6 rebounds and 4.9 assists. He also averages 1.4 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• The Warriors are getting 28.7 points, 4.0 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game from Curry.
• Brandin Podziemski averages 12.5 points, 4.4 rebounds and 3.2 assists. He is draining 46.6% of his shots from the field and 40.9% from beyond the arc, with 2.0 treys per game.
• Moses Moody averages 10.8 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.6 assists. He is sinking 40.6% of his shots from the field and 37.3% from beyond the arc, with 2.2 treys per contest.
• Quinten Post's numbers on the season are 7.7 points, 4.1 boards and 1.4 assists per game. He is making 42.4% of his shots from the floor and 34.0% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.5 triples.

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