UNLV vs Air Force Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MWC Tournament

The No. 6 seed UNLV Rebels (17-14, 11-9 MWC) will face off against the No. 11 seed Air Force Falcons (4-27, 1-19 MWC) in the MWC tournament Wednesday at Thomas & Mack Center, starting at 7 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

UNLV vs. Air Force Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 12, 2025
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: MW Network
• Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
• Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

UNLV vs. Air Force Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: UNLV win (88.6%)

Read these betting trends and insights before you wager on Wednesday's UNLV-Air Force spread (UNLV -13.5) or over/under (129.5 points).

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UNLV vs. Air Force: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• UNLV has covered 13 times in 30 matchups with a spread this season.
• Air Force is 11-19-0 ATS this year.
• As a 13.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Air Force is 5-7 against the spread compared to the 2-2 ATS record UNLV racks up as a 13.5-point favorite.
• Against the spread, the Rebels have played worse at home, covering seven times in 15 home games, and six times in 12 road games.
• The Falcons have performed better against the spread on the road (6-8-0) than at home (4-11-0) this season.
• UNLV's record against the spread in conference play is 10-10-0.
• Air Force has covered the spread six times in 20 MWC games.

UNLV vs. Air Force: Moneyline Betting Stats

• UNLV has been the moneyline favorite in 14 games this season and has come away with the win 12 times (85.7%) in those contests.
• The Rebels have yet to lose in three games when named as moneyline favorite of -1250 or better.
• Air Force has lost all 24 of the games it has been the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Falcons have not won a game when entering as a moneyline underdog with odds of +740 or longer in 11 chances.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies UNLV has a 92.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

UNLV vs. Air Force Head-to-Head Comparison

• UNLV outscores opponents by 1.2 points per game (scoring 69.6 per game to rank 294th in college basketball while giving up 68.4 per outing to rank 72nd in college basketball) and has a +40 scoring differential overall.
• Dedan Thomas Jr. leads UNLV, scoring 15.6 points per game (217th in the country).
• Air Force puts up 62 points per game (362nd in college basketball) while giving up 73.8 per contest (236th in college basketball). It has a -366 scoring differential and has been outscored by 11.8 points per game.
• Ethan Taylor's team-leading 13.6 points per game rank him 432nd in the nation.
• The Rebels fall short in the rebound battle by an average of 1.4 boards. They are recording 31 rebounds per game (241st in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 32.4 per contest.
• Jeremiah Cherry tops the Rebels with 5.3 rebounds per game (513th in college basketball action).
• The 26.9 rebounds per game the Falcons accumulate rank 355th in the country, 4.7 fewer than the 31.6 their opponents pull down.
• Taylor is 480th in college basketball with 5.4 rebounds per game, leading the Falcons.
• UNLV scores 94.3 points per 100 possessions (220th in college basketball), while giving up 92.5 points per 100 possessions (158th in college basketball).
• The Falcons score 87.2 points per 100 possessions (345th in college basketball), while conceding 103.8 points per 100 possessions (358th in college basketball).

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