Texas State vs Old Dominion Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Sun Belt Tournament

The No. 7 seed Texas State Bobcats (16-15, 9-9 Sun Belt) and the No. 10 seed Old Dominion Monarchs (13-19, 8-10 Sun Belt) meet in the Sun Belt tournament Thursday at Pensacola Bay Center, tipping off at 8:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Texas State vs. Old Dominion Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 6, 2025
• Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Pensacola, Florida
• Arena: Pensacola Bay Center

Texas State vs. Old Dominion Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Texas State win (72.9%)

Before you place a wager on Texas State-Old Dominion outing (in which Texas State is a 6.5-point favorite and the over/under is set at 140.5 points), below are a few betting trends and insights for Thursday's game.

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Texas State vs. Old Dominion: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Texas State is 14-15-0 ATS this season.
• Old Dominion is 15-15-0 ATS this season.
• As a 6.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, Texas State is 6-3 against the spread compared to the 6-7 ATS record Old Dominion racks up as a 6.5-point underdog.
• The Bobcats have done a better job covering the spread in home games (6-6-0) than they have in road tilts (6-8-0).
• The Monarchs' winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, is .500. They are 7-7-0 ATS on their home court and 6-6-0 on the road.
• Texas State is 8-10-0 against the spread in conference games this year.
• Old Dominion's Sun Belt record against the spread is 11-8-0.

Texas State vs. Old Dominion: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Texas State has been victorious in 10, or 71.4%, of the 14 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This season, the Bobcats have come away with a win seven times in eight chances when named as a favorite of at least -295 or better on the moneyline.
• Old Dominion has a 6-16 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 27.3% of those games).
• The Monarchs have gone 3-8 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +235 or longer (27.3%).
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Texas State has a 74.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Texas State vs. Old Dominion Head-to-Head Comparison

• Texas State outscores opponents by 3.1 points per game (scoring 76.7 per game to rank 101st in college basketball while allowing 73.6 per outing to rank 230th in college basketball) and has a +96 scoring differential overall.
• Texas State's leading scorer, Tylan Pope, ranks 148th in the country averaging 16.5 points per game.
• Old Dominion has a -118 scoring differential, falling short by 3.7 points per game. It is putting up 68.5 points per game, 312th in college basketball, and is allowing 72.2 per outing to rank 189th in college basketball.
• Robert Davis Jr. is ranked 225th in college basketball with a team-high 15.5 points per game.
• The Bobcats win the rebound battle by 3.7 boards on average. They collect 33.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 98th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 29.6 per contest.
• Josh O'Garro averages 6.9 rebounds per game (ranking 181st in college basketball) to lead the Bobcats.
• The Monarchs win the rebound battle by 1.7 boards on average. They collect 34.3 rebounds per game, 62nd in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 32.6.
• Sean Durugordon is 40th in college basketball with 8.7 rebounds per game, leading the Monarchs.
• Texas State ranks 112th in college basketball by averaging 98.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 211th in college basketball, allowing 94.5 points per 100 possessions.
• The Monarchs score 88.5 points per 100 possessions (330th in college basketball), while giving up 93.2 points per 100 possessions (177th in college basketball).

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