Padres vs Mets Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 28

Odds updated as of 9:15 p.m.

Monday's slate in the MLB includes a matchup between the San Diego Padres and the New York Mets.

We've got you covered, in terms of the most important information about this matchup before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Padres vs Mets Game Info

• San Diego Padres (57-49) vs. New York Mets (62-44)
• Date: Monday, July 28, 2025
• Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: PETCO Park -- San Diego, California
• Coverage: MLB Network, SDPA, and SNY

Padres vs Mets Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: SD: (-130) | NYM: (+110)
• Spread: SD: -1.5 (+162) | NYM: +1.5 (-196)
• Total: 8 -- Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)

Padres vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Dylan Cease (Padres) - 3-10, 4.59 ERA vs Frankie Montás (Mets) - 3-1, 4.62 ERA

The Padres will give the ball to Dylan Cease (3-10, 4.59 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 4 on the season, and the Mets will counter with Frankie Montas (3-1, 4.62 ERA). Cease's team is 9-12-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Cease's team has been victorious in 57.1% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-6. The Mets have a 2-3-0 ATS record in Montás' five starts that had a set spread. The Mets were the underdog on the moneyline for two Montas starts this season -- they split the games.

Padres vs Mets Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Padres win (57.9%)

Padres vs Mets Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Mets-Padres, New York is the underdog at +110, and San Diego is -130 playing at home.

Padres vs Mets Spread

• The Padres are 1.5-run home favorites on the runline against the Mets. The Padres are +162 to cover, and the Mets are -196.

Padres vs Mets Over/Under

• Padres versus Mets on July 28 has an over/under of 8 runs, with the odds on the over -114 and the under set at -106.

Bet on San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets on FanDuel today!

Padres vs Mets Betting Trends

• The Padres have been favorites in 51 games this season and have come away with the win 30 times (58.8%) in those contests.
• San Diego has a record of 26-17 when favored by -130 or more this year.
• The Padres and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 43 of their 104 opportunities.
• The Padres have posted a record of 57-47-0 against the spread this season.
• The Mets have won 12 of the 28 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (42.9%).
• New York is 6-10 (winning just 37.5% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +110 or longer.
• The Mets have played in 101 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 44 times (44-53-4).
• The Mets have put together a 50-51-0 record against the spread this season.

Padres Player Leaders

• Manny Machado has 122 hits to go with a slugging percentage of .506, both of which rank first among San Diego hitters this season. He has a .300 batting average and an on-base percentage of .360.
• He is seventh in batting average, 30th in on-base percentage, and 18th in slugging among qualifying hitters in the majors.
• Machado will look for his sixth straight game with a hit in this contest. In his last five games he is batting .619 with four doubles, a home run and six RBIs.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. leads San Diego in OBP (.365) this season, fueled by 106 hits. He's batting .268 while slugging .451.
• His batting average is 56th among qualified players, his on-base percentage 24th, and his slugging percentage 63rd.
• Luis Arraez has 118 hits this season and has a slash line of .291/.325/.397.
• Arraez takes a 10-game hitting streak into this game. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .390 with three doubles, two walks and four RBIs.
• Xander Bogaerts has seven home runs, 36 RBI and a batting average of .265 this season.

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto has put up an on-base percentage of .387, a team-best for the Mets. He's batting .252 and slugging .496.
• Including all the qualified hitters in the majors, he ranks 93rd in batting average, fifth in on-base percentage and 22nd in slugging percentage.
• Francisco Lindor is slugging .436 to lead his team. He has a batting average of .249 with an on-base percentage of .316.
• He is 101st in batting average, 105th in on-base percentage and 72nd in slugging percentage in the majors.
• Pete Alonso has a team-best slugging percentage (.504) and leads the Mets in hits (105).
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .261 with 20 doubles, 19 home runs and 32 walks.

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