Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 1

Nuggets vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Sunday, February 1, 2026
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Ball Arena -- Denver, Colorado
• Coverage: NBC/Peacock

The Oklahoma City Thunder (38-11) are favored by 4.5 points when they visit the Denver Nuggets (33-16) in a matchup of the top-ranked teams in the Western at Ball Arena on Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock. The over/under is set at 227.5 for the matchup.

Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (51.9%)

Nuggets vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread 23 times in 49 games with a set spread.
• The Nuggets have 29 wins against the spread in 49 games this year.
• Thunder games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 26 times this season.
• Nuggets games this season have gone over the total in 30 of 49 opportunities (61.2%).
• Oklahoma City has a worse record against the spread at home (12-14-0) than it does in away games (11-12-0).
• The Thunder have gone over the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (50%) than road tilts (56.5%).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, Denver has a lower winning percentage at home (.522, 12-11-0 record) than on the road (.654, 17-9-0).
• Nuggets games have gone above the over/under less frequently at home (14 times out of 23) than away (16 of 26) this season.

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32 points, 4.4 boards and 6.2 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• Chet Holmgren averages 17.8 points, 8.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists, shooting 57.1% from the field and 37.7% from downtown, with 1.3 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Cason Wallace's numbers on the season are 7.4 points, 3 rebounds and 2 assists per contest, shooting 41.2% from the field and 35.6% from downtown, with an average of 1.3 made 3-pointers.
• Isaiah Hartenstein averages 11.2 points, 10.2 boards and 2.9 assists, shooting 64% from the floor.
• Luguentz Dort's numbers on the season are 8.7 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest, shooting 39.5% from the floor and 35% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.9 made treys.

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.7 points, 12.2 rebounds and 10.8 assists for the Nuggets.
• The Nuggets are getting 25.8 points, 4.3 rebounds and 7.4 assists per game from Jamal Murray.
• The Nuggets are getting 14.7 points, 4.9 boards and 1.9 assists per game from Peyton Watson.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 14.1 points, 2.5 boards and 1.4 assists. He is making 45% of his shots from the field and 40.8% from beyond the arc, with 2.9 treys per contest.
• Per game, Bruce Brown gets the Nuggets 7.4 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.2 assists, plus 1 steal and 0.3 blocks.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Watch FanDuel TV's NBA show "Run It Back" with Lou Williams, Michelle Beadle, DeMarcus "Boogie" Cousins and Chandler Parsons weekdays at 10am ET on FanDuel TV, the Run It Back YouTube page, or download the podcast here: fanduel.com/research/tv-and-podcast.