North Carolina vs Florida State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Dec. 30

The Florida State Seminoles (7-6, 0-0 ACC) will visit the North Carolina Tar Heels (12-1, 0-0 ACC) after losing three straight road games.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

North Carolina vs. Florida State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, December 30, 2025
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Chapel Hill, North Carolina
• Arena: Dean E. Smith Center

To help you make an informed wager on North Carolina-Florida State matchup (in which North Carolina is a 13.5-point favorite and the total is set at 166.5 points), below are a few betting insights and trends for Tuesday's game.

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North Carolina vs. Florida State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• North Carolina has compiled an 8-5-0 record against the spread this season.
• Florida State has won six games against the spread this season, while failing to cover seven times.
• North Carolina covers the spread when it is a 13.5-point favorite or more 57.1% of the time. That's more often than Florida State covers as an underdog of 13.5 or more (50%).
• Against the spread last season, the Tar Heels played better when playing at home, covering seven times in 15 home games, and four times in 12 road games.
• Last season, the Seminoles were 10-6-0 at home against the spread (.625 winning percentage). Away, they were 4-7-0 ATS (.364).

North Carolina vs. Florida State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• North Carolina has been listed as the moneyline favorite 10 times this season and has come away with a win in all of those games.
• The Tar Heels have yet to lose in six games when named as moneyline favorite of -901 or better.
• Florida State has lost all three of the games it has been the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Seminoles have played as a moneyline underdog of +590 or longer in only two games this season, which they lost both.
• North Carolina has an implied victory probability of 90% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

North Carolina vs. Florida State Head-to-Head Comparison

• North Carolina's +232 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 17.9 points per game) is a result of scoring 81.4 points per game (107th in college basketball) while allowing 63.5 per contest (14th in college basketball).
• North Carolina's leading scorer, Caleb Wilson, is 37th in college basketball scoring 19.8 points per game.
• Florida State is outscoring opponents by 6.7 points per game, with a +87 scoring differential overall. It puts up 85 points per game (60th in college basketball) and allows 78.3 per contest (296th in college basketball).
• Florida State's leading scorer, Robert McCray, is 472nd in college basketball, averaging 13.5 points per game.
• The Tar Heels are 13th in college basketball at 39.2 rebounds per game. That's 10.1 more than the 29.1 their opponents average.
• Wilson leads the team with 10.8 rebounds per game (10th in college basketball action).
• The Seminoles are 106th in the nation at 34.9 rebounds per game. That's 1.2 fewer than the 36.1 their opponents average.
• Alex Steen is 209th in college basketball with 6.7 rebounds per game, leading the Seminoles.
• North Carolina ranks 95th in college basketball by averaging 102.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 15th in college basketball, allowing 80.1 points per 100 possessions.
• The Seminoles rank 200th in college basketball averaging 96.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 117th, allowing 89 points per 100 possessions.

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