Nevada vs Fresno State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MWC Tournament

The No. 7 seed Nevada Wolf Pack (16-15, 8-12 MWC) and the No. 10 seed Fresno State Bulldogs (6-25, 2-18 MWC) will try to move on in the MWC tournament on Wednesday as they meet at 4:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Nevada vs. Fresno State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 12, 2025
• Game time: 4:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: MW Network
• Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
• Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

Nevada vs. Fresno State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Nevada win (90.3%)

Take a look at some betting trends and insights for Nevada (-12.5) versus Fresno State on Wednesday. The over/under has been set at 137.5 points for this game.

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Nevada vs. Fresno State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Nevada has covered 14 times in 31 matchups with a spread this season.
• Fresno State has compiled a 16-15-0 ATS record so far this season.
• As a 12.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, Nevada is 4-3 against the spread compared to the 9-7 ATS record Fresno State racks up as a 12.5-point underdog.
• The Wolf Pack have done a better job covering the spread in home games (9-8-0) than they have in road tilts (3-8-0).
• The Bulldogs have performed better against the spread at home (9-5-0) than on the road (5-10-0) this year.
• Nevada is 6-14-0 against the spread in conference play this year.
• Fresno State's MWC record against the spread is 10-10-0.

Nevada vs. Fresno State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Nevada has won in 16, or 66.7%, of the 24 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Wolf Pack have yet to lose in seven games when named as moneyline favorite of -1053 or better.
• Fresno State has put together a 2-25 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 7.4% of those games).
• The Bulldogs have not yet won a game when it entered play as a moneyline underdog with odds of +660 or longer in 14 chances.
• Nevada has an implied victory probability of 91.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Nevada vs. Fresno State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Nevada outscores opponents by 4.2 points per game (scoring 72.3 per game to rank 224th in college basketball while giving up 68.1 per outing to rank 64th in college basketball) and has a +131 scoring differential overall.
• Nevada's leading scorer, Nick Davidson, ranks 206th in college basketball averaging 15.7 points per game.
• Fresno State's -305 scoring differential (being outscored by 9.8 points per game) is a result of putting up 70.7 points per game (269th in college basketball) while giving up 80.5 per contest (351st in college basketball).
• Jalen Weaver paces Fresno State, recording 12.5 points per game (610th in college basketball).
• The Wolf Pack rank 322nd in the nation at 29.3 rebounds per game. That's 1.2 more than the 28.1 their opponents average.
• Davidson's 6.4 rebounds per game lead the Wolf Pack and rank 251st in college basketball play.
• The Bulldogs lose the rebound battle by an average of 6.1 boards. They are pulling down 31.3 rebounds per game (214th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 37.4.
• Elijah Price leads the team with 8.2 rebounds per game (52nd in college basketball).
• Nevada ranks 68th in college basketball by averaging 100.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 222nd in college basketball, allowing 94.9 points per 100 possessions.
• The Bulldogs put up 85.9 points per 100 possessions (352nd in college basketball), while giving up 97.9 points per 100 possessions (300th in college basketball).

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