Saturday's NASCAR Xfinity Series race in Martinsville has some poopshow potential.

It's a short track where a berth in the championship race is on the line, so if we get a late-race caution, all hell could break lose. It has happened before, and we shouldn't expect this year to be any different.

Even with lots of chaos projected, my model still shows value in the favorite in FanDuel Sportsbook's NASCAR Xfinity Series betting odds for the National Debt Relief 250.

Here's the full run of sims, and we'll dig into who grades out as a betting value below.

Xfinity Series Best Bets for Martinsville

• Aric Almirola (+350): Not only did Almirola excel on short, flat tracks in the Cup Series, but he won the Xfinity Series race here in the spring with a second-place average running position. He also was runner-up in last year's Cup race here, so I don't think the model is being too aggressive in pegging him at 34.6%.
• Sheldon Creed (+1000): Creed had a third-place average running position in the spring Martinsville race and was runner-up in last year's playoff race at the track. His run of 13 runner-up finishes without a win is comical at this point and should -- I think? -- come to an end eventually.

New to FanDuel Sportsbook? You’ll receive $150 in Bonus Bets if your first bet of $5+ wins! See here for full terms and conditions. Learn about today’s other offers at FanDuel Sportsbook Promos.

Which drivers stand out to you at Martinsville? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's latest NASCAR Xfinity Series betting odds to see the full menu of options.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.