MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Thursday 5/30/24
Looking for a new way to bet on Major League Baseball this summer? A Same Game Parlay (SGP) at FanDuel Sportsbook might be the answer!
SGPs allow you to combine two or more selections from the same game for a higher potential payout. For more information about parlays, SGP, and SGP+, head over to FanDuel.
Here at FanDuel Research, we're going to provide some SGPs builds to consider based on the games and props available for today, but there are plenty more popular parlay ideas available at FanDuel's Parlay Hub, too!
Which correlated bets stand out for today's MLB slate? Let's dig in.
Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check FanDuel Research's projections to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.
MLB Same Game Parlay Bets for Thursday 5/30/24
Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox
Jack Flaherty Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-140)
Nick Pivetta to Record 6+ Strikeouts (-172)
Alternate Total Runs: Under 8.5 (-180)
Combined Odds: +253
It has been quite the resurgent start to the 2024 campaign for Jack Flaherty in his debut year with the Detroit Tigers. Across his first 10 starts this season, Flaherty is posting career-best marks in SIERA (2.26), xFIP (2.03), strikeout rate (33.3%), walk rate (3.7%), and swinging strike rate (14.9%).
While sitting in the 88th percentile in xERA (2.77), Flaherty has tallied seven-plus Ks in seven of his 10 outings -- including each of his last three. Along with having the 7th-highest strikeout rate versus right-handed pitching (24.1%), the Boston Red Sox are recording the 10th-highest swinging rate on pitches outside of the zone (32.0%).
On the flip side, Nick Pivetta is projected to make his seventh start of the campaign. Pivetta is certainly susceptible to giving up hard contact with a 48.1% flyball rate and 12.3% barrel rate, but he is also in the 79th percentile in strikeout rate (27.7%).
Similar to Flaherty, Pivetta is doing a fantastic job avoiding walks, ranking in the 92nd percentile in walk rate (4.2%). Provided that information, Pivetta just needs to prevent the Tigers from barreling baseballs so he can go deep enough in this game to record six-plus Ks.
Pivetta has logged eight-plus strikeouts in two of his last three starts. Meanwhile, Detroit owns the ninth-highest strikeout rate (24.0%) when going up against right-handed pitching this year.
By placing confidence in Flaherty and Pivetta, we'll also take the alternate under of 8.5 runs. Boston is 22-30-4 to the over in their first 56 games.
Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves
Lane Thomas to Record 2+ Total Bases (+110)
CJ Abrams to Record a Hit (-240)
Washington Nationals Alternate Runs: Over 2.5 (-225)
Combined Odds: +231
At the moment, Ray Kerr appears to be the expected starting pitcher for the Atlanta Braves ahead of Thursday's clash against the Washington Nationals. Kerr has shown at every level -- whether it be Triple-A or the majors -- that he struggles to prevent hard contact, producing a 12.5% barrel rate and 1.35 HR/9 in five MLB appearances in 2024.
This will be just the second start for Kerr this season as he allowed five earned runs in his last start, and he's yet to pitch more than four innings in a game throughout his career. With Kerr permitting a .365 wOBA, .538 SLG, and 1.93 HR/9 to righties thus far, we'll back Lane Thomas to tally two-plus bases for the Nationals.
Thomas recently returned from a stint on the injured list, combining for four extra-base hits, three RBIs, three runs, and two stolen bases in his three games back. Even though Thomas hasn't produced the elite numbers he did a season ago versus southpaws, he still has a solid .339 wOBA and 120 wRC+ with a 10.5% strikeout rate in that split to begin the campaign.
Taking on Kerr and Atlanta's bullpen, Thomas is carrying +560 odds to hit a home run.
Aside from Thomas, C.J. Abrams is set up for success despite facing a left-handed pitcher. Abrams is notching an impressive .439 wOBA, .267 ISO, and 189 wRC+ against left-handed pitching this season while getting a hit in eight of his last 12 contests.
Given Kerr's woes on the bump -- and Washington performing better with Thomas back in the lineup -- we'll take the Nationals to score three-plus runs. The Nats have plated three-plus runs in five of their last six games, which includes Wednesday's 7-2 victory over the Braves.
New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels
Anthony Volpe to Record 2+ Total Bases (+110)
Luis Rengifo to Record 2+ Total Bases (-115)
Combined Odds: +294
The New York Yankees and the Los Angeles Angels are both among my favorite teams to stack in MLB DFS on Thursday, so it's no surprise I'll be fading the starting pitchers in this game. Patrick Sandoval is the expected starter for the Angels following his worst start of the season, one where he surrendered eight earned runs and three homers to the Cleveland Guardians.
From the leadoff spot for the Yankees, Anthony Volpe is amid a league-best 21-game hit streak. Against left-handed pitching, Volpe is logging a .325 wOBA and 113 wRC+, but the fact he's in good form and is in the 88th percentile in sprint speed (28.7 FPS) makes him capable of getting multiple hits or stretching a hit into a double.
Although Carlos Rodon has had moments of success this season, he still isn't the pitcher he was before dawning pinstripes. Rodon is in the 27th percentile in xERA (4.50), seventh percentile in average exit velocity (91.3 MPH), 18th percentile in barrel rate (9.7%), and 18th percentile in hard-hit rate (44.0%) through 11 starts.
When facing right-handed hitters, Rodon is giving up a .324 wOBA, 4.82 xFIP, and 1.44 HR/9 -- compared to a .283 wOBA, 3.11 xFIP, and 0.82 HR/9 against left-handed hitters. Taking that into account, Luis Rengifo is the perfect bat to target from the Angels.
Rengifo should bat near the top of the order and owns a phenomenal .557 wOBA, .242 ISO, and 268 wRC+ versus southpaws. The 27-year-old switch-hitter for the Angels has also tallied multiple bases in six of his last eight games -- with six multi-hit performances and four extra-base hits in that span.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.