Mississippi State vs UNLV Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - November 28

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-0) take a five-game win streak into a home matchup with the UNLV Rebels (4-1), who have won three straight.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Mississippi State vs. UNLV Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, November 28, 2024
• Game time: 9:30 PM ET
• TV channel: CBS Sports Network
• Location: Tempe, Arizona
• Arena: Mullett Arena

Mississippi State vs. UNLV Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mississippi State win (63.9%)

Take a look at these betting trends and insights before you bet on Thursday's Mississippi State-UNLV spread (Mississippi State -8.5) or over/under (145.5 points).

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Mississippi State vs. UNLV: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Mississippi State has put together a 3-2-0 record against the spread this season.
• UNLV has covered once in four matchups with a spread this year.
• The Bulldogs covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games last season. They covered six times in 15 opportunities when playing at home, and they covered two times in 10 opportunities on the road.
• Last year, the Rebels were 9-4-0 at home against the spread (.692 winning percentage). On the road, they were 7-3-0 ATS (.700).

Mississippi State vs. UNLV: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Mississippi State has yet to lose any of the five games it has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Bulldogs have not lost in three games this year when favored by -385 or better on the moneyline.
• UNLV has not been the moneyline underdog yet this season.
• The Rebels have not yet played as a moneyline underdog of +290 or longer.
• Mississippi State has an implied victory probability of 79.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mississippi State vs. UNLV Head-to-Head Comparison

• Mississippi State's +101 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 20.2 points per game) is a result of scoring 87.6 points per game (22nd in college basketball) while allowing 67.4 per outing (105th in college basketball).
• Josh Hubbard leads Mississippi State, recording 20.2 points per game (26th in college basketball).
• UNLV is outscoring opponents by 9.4 points per game, with a +47 scoring differential overall. It puts up 79.8 points per game (119th in college basketball) and allows 70.4 per contest (170th in college basketball).
• Dedan Thomas Jr.'s 17.8 points per game leads UNLV and ranks 83rd in college basketball.
• The Bulldogs win the rebound battle by 1.4 boards on average. They record 35.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 104th in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 34.0 per contest.
• KeShawn Murphy tops the team with 7.6 rebounds per game (126th in college basketball play).
• The Rebels are 236th in the country at 32.2 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 32.4 their opponents average.
• Jeremiah Cherry's 7.0 rebounds per game lead the Rebels and rank 183rd in the nation.
• Mississippi State puts up 106.7 points per 100 possessions (32nd in college basketball), while giving up 82.1 points per 100 possessions (53rd in college basketball).
• The Rebels average 103.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (68th in college basketball), and allow 91.4 points per 100 possessions (222nd in college basketball).

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