Michigan State vs Penn State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Dec. 13

The Penn State Nittany Lions (8-2, 0-1 Big Ten) aim to continue a three-game home win streak when they host the Michigan State Spartans (8-1, 1-0 Big Ten) on December 13, 2025.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan State vs. Penn State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, December 13, 2025
• Game time: 12 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Big Ten Network
• Location: University Park, Pennsylvania
• Arena: Bryce Jordan Center

Michigan State vs. Penn State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan State win (74.6%)

Here's a look at some betting insights for Michigan State (-11.5) versus Penn State on Saturday. The over/under is set at 144.5 points for this game.

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Michigan State vs. Penn State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan State has put together a 5-4-0 record against the spread this season.
• Penn State has put together a 3-7-0 record against the spread this season.
• Michigan State covers the spread when it is an 11.5-point favorite or more 25% of the time. That's more often than Penn State covers as an underdog of 11.5 or more (never covered this season).
• The Spartans did a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (7-2-0) than they did in home games (10-6-0) last year.
• The Nittany Lions' winning percentage against the spread at home was .471 (8-9-0) last year. On the road, it was .600 (6-4-0).

Michigan State vs. Penn State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan State has yet to lose any of the six games it has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Spartans have yet to lose in three games when named as moneyline favorite of -820 or better.
• Penn State has been listed as the moneyline underdog only two other times so far this season, and it lost both games.
• The Nittany Lions have played as a moneyline underdog of +550 or longer in just one game this season, which they lost.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Michigan State has a 89.1% chance of pulling out a win.

Michigan State vs. Penn State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan State averages 76.6 points per game (203rd in college basketball) while giving up 61 per outing (eighth in college basketball). It has a +140 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 15.6 points per game.
• Jaxon Kohler is 376th in the nation with a team-leading 14.2 points per game.
• Penn State is outscoring opponents by 7.7 points per game, with a +77 scoring differential overall. It puts up 82 points per game (98th in college basketball) and allows 74.3 per outing (215th in college basketball).
• Kayden Mingo's 15.4 points per game leads Penn State and ranks 247th in the country.
• The Spartans are 24th in the nation at 38.6 rebounds per game. That's 11.8 more than the 26.8 their opponents average.
• Kohler is 23rd in college basketball play with 9.6 rebounds per game to lead the Spartans.
• The Nittany Lions are 331st in college basketball at 29 rebounds per game. That's 1.3 more than the 27.7 their opponents average.
• Ivan Juric is 1048th in the nation with four rebounds per game, leading the Nittany Lions.
• Michigan State's 100.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 126th in college basketball, and the 79.9 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 13th in college basketball.
• The Nittany Lions' 108.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 34th in college basketball, and the 97.9 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 295th in college basketball.

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