Mavericks vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 22

Mavericks vs. Warriors Game Info

• Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: American Airlines Center -- Dallas, Texas
• Coverage: Amazon Prime Video and NBCS-BA

The Dallas Mavericks (18-26) are underdogs (+5.5) as they try to build on a three-game winning streak when they host the Golden State Warriors (25-20) at 7:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 22, 2026 at American Airlines Center. The matchup airs on Amazon Prime Video and NBCS-BA. The matchup has an over/under of 234.5.

Mavericks vs. Warriors Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Mavericks vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Warriors win (61.7%)

Mavericks vs. Warriors Betting Trends

• The Warriors are 21-23-1 against the spread this season.
• The Mavericks have 19 wins against the spread in 44 games this year.
• Warriors games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 26 times out of 44 chances this season.
• Mavericks games this season have eclipsed the over/under 47.7% of the time (21 out of 44 games with a set point total).
• Golden State has done a better job covering the spread at home (13-10-1) than it has in road affairs (8-13-0).
• The Warriors have gone over the total more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in 14 of 24 home matchups (58.3%). In away games, they have hit the over in 12 of 21 games (57.1%).
• Dallas' winning percentage against the spread at home is .542 (13-10-1). On the road, it is .300 (6-14-0).
• Looking at the over/under, Mavericks games have gone over 12 of 24 times at home (50%), and nine of 20 away (45%).

Warriors Leaders

• Stephen Curry's numbers on the season are 27.1 points, 3.7 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game, shooting 46.8% from the field and 38.7% from beyond the arc, with an average of 4.5 made 3-pointers (first in NBA).
• Brandin Podziemski's numbers on the season are 12.3 points, 4.4 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game, shooting 46.8% from the floor and 40.1% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.8 made treys.
• Draymond Green is averaging 8.8 points, 5.2 assists and 5.8 rebounds.
• Moses Moody is averaging 10.7 points, 1.5 assists and 3 rebounds.
• Quinten Post is averaging 8.1 points, 1.4 assists and 4 boards.

Mavericks Leaders

• Per game, Cooper Flagg gets the Mavericks 18.8 points, 6.3 boards and 4.1 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.8 blocks.
• The Mavericks get 14.2 points per game from Naji Marshall, plus 4.7 boards and 2.9 assists.
• P.J. Washington averages 14.6 points, 7.4 rebounds and 1.9 assists. He is making 45.5% of his shots from the floor and 31% from 3-point range, with 1.3 triples per game.
• Max Christie averages 12.9 points, 3.5 boards and 2.2 assists. He is sinking 48.7% of his shots from the field and 45.9% from 3-point range (fifth in league), with 2.5 treys per game.
• Per game, Brandon Williams provides the Mavericks 12.1 points, 2.8 rebounds and 3.7 assists, plus 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocks.

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