Kansas vs UCF Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big 12 Tournament

The No. 6 seed Kansas Jayhawks (20-11, 11-9 Big 12) and the No. 14 seed UCF Knights (17-15, 7-13 Big 12) play in the Big 12 tournament Wednesday at T-Mobile Center, tipping off at 9:30 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Kansas vs. UCF Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Wednesday, March 12, 2025
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN2
- Location: Kansas City, Missouri
- Arena: T-Mobile Center
Kansas vs. UCF Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Kansas win (79%)
Here's a look at some betting insights for Kansas (-9.5) versus UCF on Wednesday. The over/under is set at 155.5 points for this game.
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Kansas vs. UCF: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Kansas has put together a 15-16-0 record against the spread this season.
- UCF has compiled a 14-18-0 ATS record so far this season.
- UCF covers the spread when it is a 9.5-point underdog or more 66.7% of the time. That's more often than Kansas covers as a favorite of 9.5 or more (50%).
- Against the spread, the Jayhawks have performed better at home, covering eight times in 17 home games, and five times in 12 road games.
- The Knights' winning percentage against the spread at home is .389 (7-11-0). On the road, it is .500 (5-5-0).
- Kansas has covered the spread nine times in 20 conference games.
- Against the spread in Big 12 games, UCF is 9-12-0 this season.
Kansas vs. UCF: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Kansas has been victorious in 19, or 76%, of the 25 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
- This season, the Jayhawks have come away with a win 11 times in 12 chances when named as a favorite of at least -549 or shorter on the moneyline.
- UCF is 4-12 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 25% of those games).
- The Knights have a 1-4 record (winning just 20% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +400 or longer.
- Kansas has an implied victory probability of 84.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
Kansas vs. UCF Head-to-Head Comparison
- Kansas has a +236 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.6 points per game. It is putting up 75.5 points per game to rank 130th in college basketball and is allowing 67.9 per contest to rank 61st in college basketball.
- Hunter Dickinson ranks 94th in college basketball with a team-high 17.4 points per game.
- UCF has a -23 scoring differential, putting up 78.8 points per game (61st in college basketball) and allowing 79.6 (345th in college basketball).
- Keyshawn Hall's team-leading 18.6 points per game rank him 54th in the country.
- The 34.7 rebounds per game the Jayhawks average rank 47th in the nation, and are 3.0 more than the 31.7 their opponents grab per outing.
- Dickinson is 11th in college basketball play with 9.9 rebounds per game to lead the Jayhawks.
- The Knights lose the rebound battle by 1.7 boards on average. They record 32.8 rebounds per game, 134th in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 34.5.
- Hall averages 6.9 rebounds per game (180th in college basketball) to lead the Knights.
- Kansas averages 96.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (156th in college basketball), and allows 86.8 points per 100 possessions (31st in college basketball).
- The Knights rank 232nd in college basketball averaging 93.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 217th, allowing 94.7 points per 100 possessions.
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