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Just Steel: Kentucky Derby Horse Odds, History and Prediction

FanDuel Staff
FanDuel Staff

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Just Steel: Kentucky Derby Horse Odds, History and Prediction

The 150th Kentucky Derby is nearly here, and the field of 20 three-year-old horses is set.

Just Steel's 65 points ranked 12th on the Road to the Kentucky Derby for 2024.

Just Steel Kentucky Derby Odds and Post Position

Just Steel's Kentucky Derby morning line odds are 20-1 (+2000), tied for sixth-best in the field.

Just Steel drew post position 6.

Post
Horse
Trainer
Jockey
ML Odds
1DornochDanny GarganLuis Saez20-1
2Sierra LeoneChad BrownTyler Gaffalione3-1
3Mystik DanKenny McPeekBrian Hernandez20-1
4Catching FreedomBrad CoxFlavien Prat8-1
5CatalyticSaffie Joseph, Jr.Jose Ortiz30-1
6Just SteelD. Wayne LukasKeith Asmussen20-1
7Honor MarieWhit BeckmanBen Curtis20-1

Just Steel Horse Trainer and Jockey

Hall of Fame trainer D. Wayne Lukas owns 14 Triple Crown victories, including four Kentucky Derby wins: 1988 (Winning Colors), 1995 (Thunder Gulch), 1996 (Grindstone), and 1999 (Charismatic).

This is Lukas' first Derby since 2018.

Jockey Keith Asmussen rides for the first time in the Kentucky Derby.

Just Steel Race History

Just Steel's 11 races are most of any horse in the Derby field, and nobody can match his 112 maximum Speed Score.

Speed Scores via Equibase.

Date
Track
Race
Finish
Equibase Speed Figure
4/6/2024KeenelandToyota Blue Grass Stakes (Gr. 1)1107
2/17/2024Fair GroundsRisen Star Stakes (Gr. 2)198
12/2/2023AqueductRemsen Stakes (Gr. 2)299
11/4/2023AqueductMaiden Special Weight189

Just Steel Kentucky Derby Prediction and Pick

The hall-of-fame trainer angle is great, and Just Steel is the son of Justify.

While the 112 Speed Score at the Arkansas Derby to close out March is the only time in 11 races that Just Steel topped the 100 mark, no other horse in the field has ever surpassed a 112.

Though not as experienced as other jockeys, Asmussen got the best out of Just Steel, riding in that Arkansas Derby showing.

Watch FanDuel TV's Kyle Levy analyze Just Steel below:


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