Iowa State vs TCU College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 10

The Iowa State Cyclones (21-2, 8-2 Big 12) hope to build on a five-game win streak when they visit the TCU Horned Frogs (14-9, 4-6 Big 12) on February 10, 2026 at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Iowa State vs. TCU Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, February 10, 2026
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Fox Sports 1
• Location: Fort Worth, Texas
• Arena: Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena

Iowa State vs. TCU Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Iowa State win (68.4%)

If you are planning on making a wager on Iowa State-TCU matchup (in which Iowa State is a 6.5-point favorite and the over/under is set at 147.5 points), below are a few betting trends and insights for Tuesday's game.

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Iowa State vs. TCU: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Iowa State is 13-10-0 ATS this season.
• TCU is 11-12-0 ATS this season.
• Iowa State covers the spread when it is a 6.5-point favorite or more 52.9% of the time. That's less often than TCU covers as an underdog of 6.5 or more (71.4%).
• The Cyclones have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered six times in 13 games when playing at home, and they've covered four times in six games on the road.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Horned Frogs have a lower winning percentage at home (.333, 5-10-0 record) than on the road (.600, 3-2-0).
• Against the spread, in conference play, Iowa State is 6-4-0 this season.
• TCU's Big 12 record against the spread is 4-6-0.

Iowa State vs. TCU: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Iowa State has come away with 16 wins in the 18 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Cyclones have not lost in 12 games this year when favored by -345 or better on the moneyline.
• TCU has won 37.5% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (3-5).
• The Horned Frogs are 1-4 (winning only 20% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +270 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Iowa State has a 77.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Iowa State vs. TCU Head-to-Head Comparison

• Iowa State is outscoring opponents by 20.9 points per game with a +481 scoring differential overall. It puts up 85.9 points per game (21st in college basketball) and gives up 65 per contest (16th in college basketball).
• Milan Momcilovic's 18.7 points per game lead Iowa State and rank 62nd in the country.
• TCU outscores opponents by 6.9 points per game (posting 78.9 points per game, 121st in college basketball, and conceding 72 per contest, 130th in college basketball) and has a +160 scoring differential.
• David Punch is 355th in the nation with a team-leading 14.3 points per game.
• The Cyclones pull down 33.8 rebounds per game (101st in college basketball) while allowing 26.9 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 6.9 boards per game.
• Joshua Jefferson paces the team with 7.7 rebounds per game (91st in college basketball action).
• The Horned Frogs win the rebound battle by an average of 2.3 boards. They are recording 32 rebounds per game (200th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 29.7.
• Punch tops the Horned Frogs with 7.2 rebounds per game (136th in college basketball).
• Iowa State's 109.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 11th in college basketball, and the 83.2 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 10th in college basketball.
• The Horned Frogs put up 99.1 points per 100 possessions (149th in college basketball), while allowing 90.4 points per 100 possessions (78th in college basketball).

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