Illinois vs USC Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for January 11

The Illinois Fighting Illini (12-3, 4-1 Big Ten) will try to build on a five-game winning streak when they host the USC Trojans (9-6, 1-3 Big Ten) on January 11, 2025 at State Farm Center.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Illinois vs. USC Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, January 11, 2025
• Game time: 12:00 PM ET
• TV channel: Big Ten Network
• Location: Champaign, Illinois
• Arena: State Farm Center

Illinois vs. USC Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Illinois win (90.6%)

Before you wager on Saturday's Illinois-USC spread (Illinois -13.5) or over/under (153.5 points), check out the betting insights and trends below.

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Illinois vs. USC: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Illinois has compiled an 8-7-0 ATS record so far this year.
• USC has covered five times in 15 games with a spread this season.
• Against the spread last season, the Fighting Illini fared worse when played at home, covering nine times in 18 home games, and seven times in 11 road games.
• Last season, the Trojans were 7-8-0 at home against the spread (.467 winning percentage). Away, they were 6-6-0 ATS (.500).
• Illinois has won twice against the spread in conference games this year.
• USC has won once against the spread in Big Ten action this season.

Illinois vs. USC: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Illinois has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in nine games this year and has walked away with the win eight times (88.9%) in those games.
• The Fighting Illini have been a -1205 moneyline favorite on three occasions this season and won every game.
• USC has a 1-5 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 16.7% of those games).
• The Trojans have not played a game this season with moneyline odds of +720 or longer.
• Illinois has an implied victory probability of 92.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Illinois vs. USC Head-to-Head Comparison

• Illinois averages 87.9 points per game (fifth in college basketball) while giving up 66.2 per contest (56th in college basketball). It has a +325 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 21.7 points per game.
• Illinois' leading scorer, Kasparas Jakucionis, ranks 146th in college basketball scoring 16.4 points per game.
• USC's +80 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 5.3 points per game) is a result of putting up 75.7 points per game (169th in college basketball) while giving up 70.4 per contest (154th in college basketball).
• USC's leading scorer, Desmond Claude, ranks 270th in college basketball, putting up 14.9 points per game.
• The Fighting Illini record 42.5 rebounds per game (second in college basketball) while conceding 28.9 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 13.6 boards per game.
• Tomislav Ivisic is 29th in college basketball action with nine rebounds per game to lead the Fighting Illini.
• The Trojans rank 332nd in the nation at 29.3 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 29.1 their opponents average.
• Saint Thomas tops the Trojans with 5.9 rebounds per game (346th in college basketball).
• Illinois' 105.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 30th in college basketball, and the 79.2 points it allows per 100 possessions rank fifth in college basketball.
• The Trojans score 98.9 points per 100 possessions (117th in college basketball), while allowing 92 points per 100 possessions (202nd in college basketball).

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