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55 Min Till Start

GB - Southwell - Race 5

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
8.1f
Handicap
Synthetic
Standard
12.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

IMOLA has shown improved form for current connections and was running well before unseating at Newcastle recently. She can make amends here, while R P McMurphy won impressively at Wolverhampton and looks progressive despite a 5lb rise. Kodebreaker has previous course wins and returned to form when second at Wolverhampton last time.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Imola (Ire) silk

Has shown improved form since joining current stable with two placed efforts in last four starts. Unseated rider in 14-runner handicap at Newcastle (4/1) 10 days ago when appearing to be running well before being hampered 2f out. Major player on recent performances despite not winning in 19 races.

1st Pick
3

Imola (Ire)

Jockey: Hector Crouch

Trainer: Joey Ramsden

J: Hector Crouch

T: Joey Ramsden

100---15%6/1

Analysis

Has shown improved form since joining current stable with two placed efforts in last four starts. Unseated rider in 14-runner handicap at Newcastle (4/1) 10 days ago when appearing to be running well before being hampered 2f out. Major player on recent performances despite not winning in 19 races.

2
R P Mcmurphy silk

Won a 13-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (15/8) 13 days ago, making good headway to lead in the final furlong. Up 5lbs but remains of interest given recent progressive profile on AW.

2nd Pick
2

R P Mcmurphy

Jockey: Lewis Edmunds

Trainer: Michael Appleby

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: Michael Appleby

97---39%8/5

Analysis

Won a 13-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (15/8) 13 days ago, making good headway to lead in the final furlong. Up 5lbs but remains of interest given recent progressive profile on AW.

6
Kodebreaker (Ire) silk

Better on AW surfaces with two course wins at Southwell. Hampered when second of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (14/1) over 7f 18 days ago, returning to form back down in trip. Without a win in 20 races but could build on that latest effort back at a track where has previously won.

3rd Pick
6

Kodebreaker (Ire)

Jockey: Zak Wheatley

Trainer: Michael Herrington

J: Zak Wheatley

T: Michael Herrington

93---13%7/1

Analysis

Better on AW surfaces with two course wins at Southwell. Hampered when second of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (14/1) over 7f 18 days ago, returning to form back down in trip. Without a win in 20 races but could build on that latest effort back at a track where has previously won.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.