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22 Min Till Start

GB - Southwell - Race 4

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7.1f
Sweepstakes
Synthetic
Standard
8.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SAFE HARBOR showed something to work on when third on debut at Chelmsford last month and with improvement expected, she gets a tentative vote ahead of Emilia Casanova who is bred to be useful and could be worth another chance following a very slow start last time. Ritaal should appreciate the step back up to 7f on first start for new yard, while Let Her Go can improve second time up. Any support for the newcomers should be noted in a winnable novice.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
12
Safe Harbor silk

Territories filly offered something to work on when staying-on third of 9 in maiden at Chelmsford City (7f, 20/1) on debut 22 days ago. In good hands and should improve.

1st Pick
12

Safe Harbor

Jockey: Neil Callan

Trainer: Marco Botti

J: Neil Callan

T: Marco Botti

100---19%9/2

Analysis

Territories filly offered something to work on when staying-on third of 9 in maiden at Chelmsford City (7f, 20/1) on debut 22 days ago. In good hands and should improve.

3
Emilia Casanova silk

Bred to be useful but needed debut experience and still green when well held third of 6 in maiden at Newcastle (7.1f, 7/2) 43 days ago, reared leaving stalls and slowly away. Could be worth another chance.

2nd Pick
3

Emilia Casanova

Jockey: Pierre-Louis Jamin

Trainer: K. R. Burke

J: Pierre-Louis Jamin

T: K. R. Burke

99---20%4/1

Analysis

Bred to be useful but needed debut experience and still green when well held third of 6 in maiden at Newcastle (7.1f, 7/2) 43 days ago, reared leaving stalls and slowly away. Could be worth another chance.

11
Ritaal (Ire) silk

Finished runner-up in back-to-back maidens at Wolverhampton for Owen Burrows, latterly over 6f when no match for strong favourite. Should appreciate stepping back up to 7f on first start for new yard.

3rd Pick
11

Ritaal (Ire)

Jockey: Lewis Edmunds

Trainer: William Muir & Chris Grassick

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: William Muir & Chris Grassick

96---17%5/1

Analysis

Finished runner-up in back-to-back maidens at Wolverhampton for Owen Burrows, latterly over 6f when no match for strong favourite. Should appreciate stepping back up to 7f on first start for new yard.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.