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5 Min Till Start

GB - Southwell - Race 2

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
8.1f
Handicap
Synthetic
Standard
13.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HELM ROCK has been given a big chance by the handicapper and may well have capitalised with a clear run when just failing to get on top at Chelmsford (1m) 2 weeks ago. He earns the vote to confirm the promise of that run, with hat-trick seeking 3-y-o Rogue Encore next best. Gincident and Waiting All Night are others to consider.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Helm Rock silk

Thirteen runs since last win in 2023 but given a chance by the assessor and he looked unlucky not to win when second of 9 in handicap at Chelmsford City (8f) 14 days ago, just failing. Very much on the shortlist nudged up just 1 lb.

1st Pick
5

Helm Rock

Jockey: Richard Kingscote

Trainer: Daniel & Claire Kubler

J: Richard Kingscote

T: Daniel & Claire Kubler

100---36%9/5

Analysis

Thirteen runs since last win in 2023 but given a chance by the assessor and he looked unlucky not to win when second of 9 in handicap at Chelmsford City (8f) 14 days ago, just failing. Very much on the shortlist nudged up just 1 lb.

4
Rogue Encore silk

Back on the up since cheekpieces went on, making it back-to-back wins in Newcastle handicaps at 1m in recent weeks. Merits consideration in hat-trick bid under a penalty.

2nd Pick
4

Rogue Encore

Jockey: Rossa Ryan

Trainer: Peter Chapple-Hyam

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Peter Chapple-Hyam

95---24%

Scratched

Analysis

Back on the up since cheekpieces went on, making it back-to-back wins in Newcastle handicaps at 1m in recent weeks. Merits consideration in hat-trick bid under a penalty.

11
Gincident (Ire) silk

Thirteen runs since last win in 2023. Below form sixth of 11 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, heavy, 9/1) 26 days ago, a sluggish start not aiding his cause. Not taken lightly back on all weather.

3rd Pick
11

Gincident (Ire)

Jockey: Oisin Mcsweeney

Trainer: Richard Fahey

J: Oisin Mcsweeney

T: Richard Fahey

99---10%9/1

Analysis

Thirteen runs since last win in 2023. Below form sixth of 11 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, heavy, 9/1) 26 days ago, a sluggish start not aiding his cause. Not taken lightly back on all weather.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.