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11:50 PM

NZ - Wanganui - Race 2

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
8f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
14.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

UNDISPUTED (4) won a trial prior to finishing fourth as the favourite at Tauranga 4 weeks ago over 7f. The key here is the step up to a mile, and even from a wide gate, he is the one to beat. Follow your money. JULIANUS (2) got out late and flew home to finish runner-up by a nose at Waipukurau nearly a fortnight ago. He has a better draw this time and can get the job done here. CROIX DE GUERRE (1) finished sixth in the same race as the second pick last start, and will probably be ridden a touch more quietly here early on. He is certainly good enough to win a race like this. Stick with him. CARTER JOHN (3) made up a lot of late ground when finishing third fresh up at Waverley 15 days ago. He has been a late-maturing type, and he will pick up a win at short notice. ROCKA PHILLY (10) stuck to her task gamely in her first run over a mile at only her third career start at New Plymouth just over 3 weeks ago. She was runner-up that day, and another honest effort can be expected.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Undisputed silk

Third race start. First start 10th of 13 at Ruakaka 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 12 over 6f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Iridescent with 129lbs at $2. Returned from break 4th of 13 at Tauranga on November 1 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Mission Complete carrying 129lbs at $3.60. Plenty of improvement to come.

1st Pick
4

Undisputed

Jockey: Bruno Queiroz

Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

J: Bruno Queiroz

T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

103---34%2/1

Analysis

Third race start. First start 10th of 13 at Ruakaka 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 12 over 6f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Iridescent with 129lbs at $2. Returned from break 4th of 13 at Tauranga on November 1 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Mission Complete carrying 129lbs at $3.60. Plenty of improvement to come.

2
Julianus silk

At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 14 at Waipukurau on November 16 over 1m, nose behind Thrilling carrying 129lbs at $13. The race before that 8th of 13 at Woodville on November 2 over 7f, slow going 5 len behind Lets All Boogie carrying 129lbs at $7.30. Tough to beat.

2nd Pick
2

Julianus

Jockey: Jonathan Riddell

Trainer: Jo Rathbone

J: Jonathan Riddell

T: Jo Rathbone

160---14%13/2

Analysis

At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 14 at Waipukurau on November 16 over 1m, nose behind Thrilling carrying 129lbs at $13. The race before that 8th of 13 at Woodville on November 2 over 7f, slow going 5 len behind Lets All Boogie carrying 129lbs at $7.30. Tough to beat.

1
Croix De Guerre silk

At the latest run 6th of 14 at Waipukurau on November 16 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Thrilling carrying 125lbs at $3.10. The run before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 13 at Woodville on November 2 over 7f, slow going 1.0 len behind Lets All Boogie carrying 129lbs at $3.60. All set to open his account.

3rd Pick
1

Croix De Guerre

Jockey: Kelly Myers

Trainer: Johno Benner

J: Kelly Myers

T: Johno Benner

150---16%11/2

Analysis

At the latest run 6th of 14 at Waipukurau on November 16 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Thrilling carrying 125lbs at $3.10. The run before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 13 at Woodville on November 2 over 7f, slow going 1.0 len behind Lets All Boogie carrying 129lbs at $3.60. All set to open his account.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.