NZH - Waterlea - Race 1

Harness

13 Runners

11.9f

Unknown

Turf

6.7K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

GO HOME DENISE (1) finished third at her last run just a couple of days ago over 1 ½m at this track, beaten 45 metres. A nice draw on the front line should ensure a cosy run. Her last-start form is good enough to put her right in the finish. ROSARY (4) ran fourth last start at this track over 1 ½m, beaten 55 metres. Expect her to pose a serious challenge. HEARTBREAK HOTEL (8) disappointed last time when 13th over 1 ½m at this track. Can atone. BILLY KIMBER (11) is the best of the rest after finishing fifth over 1 ½m at this track last time out.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Two back was beaten by 9 m finishing fourth behind Silvester at Phar Lap Raceway over 1m on January 8 at $3.40. Then a handy effort when well beaten into third behind Manakau Blaze at this track over 1 ½m on January 17 at $7. Draws the inside and will be hard to beat on the latest effort. 1st Pick 1 Go Home Denise Jockey: Sam Thornley Trainer: Ken Barron J: Sam Thornley T: Ken Barron	77	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Two back was beaten by 9 m finishing fourth behind Silvester at Phar Lap Raceway over 1m on January 8 at $3.40. Then a handy effort when well beaten into third behind Manakau Blaze at this track over 1 ½m on January 17 at $7. Draws the inside and will be hard to beat on the latest effort.
4	Last start was well beaten into fourth behind Manakau Blaze at this track over 1 ½m on January 17 at $5.50. Performed better the start before with a solid effort when 3rd (Fr4) over 1 ½m at Richmond Park, beaten 21 m by Call Dudley (3:12.40) on January 12 at $5.30. Big chance to find the winners' list. 2nd Pick 4 Rosary Jockey: Sheree Tomlinson Trainer: Ken Ford & Amanda Tomlinson J: Sheree Tomlinson T: Ken Ford & Amanda Tomlinson	76	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Last start was well beaten into fourth behind Manakau Blaze at this track over 1 ½m on January 17 at $5.50. Performed better the start before with a solid effort when 3rd (Fr4) over 1 ½m at Richmond Park, beaten 21 m by Call Dudley (3:12.40) on January 12 at $5.30. Big chance to find the winners' list.
8	Has struggled of late. Backing up quickly after 13th (FrU5) over 1 ½m at this track, well beaten by Manakau Blaze (3:15.70) on January 17 at $5. At the previous start 7th (FrU1) over 1/16m at Manawatu, beaten 75 m by Chemical Dreams (3:26.00) in 3yo+ on December 12 at $2.90. Deserves another chance. 3rd Pick 8 Heartbreak Hotel Jockey: Samantha Ottley Trainer: Mark Jones J: Samantha Ottley T: Mark Jones	74	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Has struggled of late. Backing up quickly after 13th (FrU5) over 1 ½m at this track, well beaten by Manakau Blaze (3:15.70) on January 17 at $5. At the previous start 7th (FrU1) over 1/16m at Manawatu, beaten 75 m by Chemical Dreams (3:26.00) in 3yo+ on December 12 at $2.90. Deserves another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.