NZ - Te Rapa - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

10.6K

VIEW

Verdict

CROWN PRINCESS (8) got back a touch too far when resuming as the favourite at Matamata 4 weeks ago, and though out of the money, she was not too far from the winner. She steps up to a mile, and will be making her run a lot earlier with Craig Grylls in the irons this time. Follow your money. On top for us. ANOTHER FLOOZIE (7) was well ridden when coming with a sustained run from well back to score comfortably at Arawa Park nearly 3 weeks ago. She is bred to be better than a 1-win mare, and she can now go on with the job. QUONDO (3) was G2 placed as a juvenile and was a tad disappointing fresh up in the G2 Levin Classic in his first start as a 3-year-old. He can get his confidence back at this level and can make amends. UNWRITTEN (4) followed up a deserved maiden win at Te Aroha with a strong finishing third at Ruakaka 10 days ago. She cops a wide gate, but is still worth including in all combos. LERADO (1) will be peaking third up and has a superior gate this time. Don't risk him.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Second-up. First-up after a year from last on the turn 9th of 11 at Matamata on December 19 over 7f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Transaction carrying 126lbs at $3.90. Previously second-up favourite, won by 4.5 len at Arawa Park December 28 2024 over 7 ¾f defeating Golden Century with 121lbs at $3.20. Fitter and can break through. 1st Pick 8 Crown Princess Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Craig Grylls T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	123	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after a year from last on the turn 9th of 11 at Matamata on December 19 over 7f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Transaction carrying 126lbs at $3.90. Previously second-up favourite, won by 4.5 len at Arawa Park December 28 2024 over 7 ¾f defeating Golden Century with 121lbs at $3.20. Fitter and can break through.
7	Last start won by 1.3 len at Arawa Park December 27 over 7 ¾f in soft going defeating Lofty Manuel with 125lbs at $5. Before that 5th of 9 at Arawa Park on December 5 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Dragon Blossom carrying 127lbs at $8.60. Can make it back-to-back wins. 2nd Pick 7 Another Floozie Jockey: Matt Cartwright Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Matt Cartwright T: Stephen Marsh	126	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Last start won by 1.3 len at Arawa Park December 27 over 7 ¾f in soft going defeating Lofty Manuel with 125lbs at $5. Before that 5th of 9 at Arawa Park on December 5 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Dragon Blossom carrying 127lbs at $8.60. Can make it back-to-back wins.
3	Second-up. First-up after two months ran last of 14 at Trentham in the G2 Levin Classic on January 3 over 7f, on a slow track, 14 len behind La Dorada with 126lbs at $30.80. Previously second-up 2nd of 11 at this track in the G2 Hawke's Bay Guineas on September 27 over 7f, on heavy track, 0.8 len behind Magic Carpet carrying 126lbs at $4.90. Will appreciate this easier contest and should be right in the mix. 3rd Pick 3 Quondo Jockey: Opie Bosson Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Opie Bosson T: Andrew Forsman	128	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after two months ran last of 14 at Trentham in the G2 Levin Classic on January 3 over 7f, on a slow track, 14 len behind La Dorada with 126lbs at $30.80. Previously second-up 2nd of 11 at this track in the G2 Hawke's Bay Guineas on September 27 over 7f, on heavy track, 0.8 len behind Magic Carpet carrying 126lbs at $4.90. Will appreciate this easier contest and should be right in the mix.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.