NZ - Te Rapa - Race 4

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

10.4f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

10.6K

VIEW

Verdict

BERTIE WOOSTER (4) is running out of chances for us, and he may have found the heavy track against him when finishing fourth at Te Aroha nearly a fortnight ago. He tries 1 ¼m for the first time, which he has been looking for, and he can get the job done this time. On top. SUMMER IN LONDON (15) made her debut over 1 ?m at New Plymouth nearly 3 weeks ago and fought on gamely to finish fifth. She will relish getting out to 1 5/16m at only her second start, and with Craig Grylls in the saddle, she can improve sharply. Each-way. IRISH FLUTE (12) looked likely at New Plymouth last time out before peaking on her run late and finishing fourth. She is getting stronger and should be ready to run top 3 at her fourth career start. Stick with her. MY FAIR LILY (11) has improved in each of her runs back from a spell, and she will be peaking third up for her first run over ground this season. Each-way value. LOFTY MANUEL (8) was a game runner-up as the favourite at Arawa Park nearly 3 weeks ago.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	At the latest run 4th of 9 at Te Aroha on January 3 over 1m, in the wet, 8 len behind Horrie carrying 129lbs at $3.30. Before that 5th of 12 at this track on December 20 over 1m, on a slow track, 3 len behind Julianus with 129lbs at $14. Should be at his top now and is capable of taking this out. 1st Pick 4 Bertie Wooster Jockey: Darren Danis Trainer: Chris Wood J: Darren Danis T: Chris Wood	73	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis At the latest run 4th of 9 at Te Aroha on January 3 over 1m, in the wet, 8 len behind Horrie carrying 129lbs at $3.30. Before that 5th of 12 at this track on December 20 over 1m, on a slow track, 3 len behind Julianus with 129lbs at $14. Should be at his top now and is capable of taking this out.
15	At debut, 5th of 8 at New Plymouth Raceway on December 27 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Los Salsero with 122lbs at $5.20. Has ability and looks hard to beat. 2nd Pick 15 Summer In London Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Craig Grylls T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	122	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis At debut, 5th of 8 at New Plymouth Raceway on December 27 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Los Salsero with 122lbs at $5.20. Has ability and looks hard to beat.
12	At the latest run 4th of 8 at New Plymouth Raceway on December 27 over 1m, slow going 1.4 len behind Los Salsero with 122lbs at $8.80. Before that got back early 9th of 12 at Ellerslie on December 11 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind Day One carrying 122lbs at $16. Among the top chances. 3rd Pick 12 Irish Flute Jockey: Joe Doyle Trainer: Tony Pike J: Joe Doyle T: Tony Pike	77	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis At the latest run 4th of 8 at New Plymouth Raceway on December 27 over 1m, slow going 1.4 len behind Los Salsero with 122lbs at $8.80. Before that got back early 9th of 12 at Ellerslie on December 11 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind Day One carrying 122lbs at $16. Among the top chances.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.