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1:22 AM

NZ - Te Rapa - Race 3

Thoroughbred
20 Runners
5.5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
10.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PORTLAND (10) has been in rock-solid form on wet tracks, with a pair of second-place finishes at New Plymouth in her last couple of starts. She has trialled on firmer surfaces, so there should not be an excuse there, and from a good draw, she is the one to beat. THUMBELINA (13) just battled on debut as a juvenile, and her trial form has been better, including a recent narrow win at a tune-up trial. She resumes with the advantage of the pole position and should be ready to rumble fresh. Check the market. NEFFU (1) has changed stables since an initial solid prep last season, which included a couple of placings. He resumes without the blinkers on and will be hitting the line late. Watch for any market leads. BUCCINO (6) has been trying to win a race for some time, but has been placed often, including a fresh third at Matamata 4 weeks ago. Stick with her. ARCTIC JEWEL (18) is a progressive mare with winning claims in this, especially from a good gate.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Portland silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 at New Plymouth Raceway on December 27 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Zimomo with 119lbs at $4.30. The start before that 2nd in a small field at New Plymouth Raceway on December 4 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 2.75 len behind Waka carrying 120lbs at $3.90. Capable of fighting out the finish again.

1st Pick
10

Portland

Jockey: Tayla Mitchell

Trainer: Stephen Marsh

J: Tayla Mitchell

T: Stephen Marsh

242---9%11/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 at New Plymouth Raceway on December 27 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Zimomo with 119lbs at $4.30. The start before that 2nd in a small field at New Plymouth Raceway on December 4 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 2.75 len behind Waka carrying 120lbs at $3.90. Capable of fighting out the finish again.

13
Thumbelina silk

Resuming after a lengthy spell. Only one run when 6th of 9 at this track on May 24 over 5 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Geneva carrying 119lbs at $11. Expecting her to hit the ground running this campaign.

2nd Pick
13

Thumbelina

Jockey: Craig Grylls

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Craig Grylls

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

106---14%13/2

Analysis

Resuming after a lengthy spell. Only one run when 6th of 9 at this track on May 24 over 5 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Geneva carrying 119lbs at $11. Expecting her to hit the ground running this campaign.

1
Neffu silk

Resuming after a eight months break. Finished off last preparation eighth of 17 at Ellerslie May 7 over 1m, soft track, 2.5 len behind Gate Crashers with 129lbs at $5.50. On debut fifth of 10 at Te Aroha March 7 over 5 ¾f, 2.5 len behind Katashi carrying 129lbs at $28.80. Expecting a bright start to the prep.

3rd Pick
1

Neffu

Jockey: Lynsey Satherley

Trainer: Lisa Anderson

J: Lynsey Satherley

T: Lisa Anderson

51---5%20/1

Analysis

Resuming after a eight months break. Finished off last preparation eighth of 17 at Ellerslie May 7 over 1m, soft track, 2.5 len behind Gate Crashers with 129lbs at $5.50. On debut fifth of 10 at Te Aroha March 7 over 5 ¾f, 2.5 len behind Katashi carrying 129lbs at $28.80. Expecting a bright start to the prep.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.