AU - Port Lincoln - Race 9

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

6.7f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.4K

VIEW

Verdict

LAVA LAD (3) is in white-hot form. Was successful last start over this track and trip getting home by half a length to make it four wins on the bounce. Doing everything right at the moment and there's no reason he can't score again. GEORGIEGINA (11) has returned in great order, with two barnstorming victories at long odds. Has to be respected now, despite the ugly draw. OVERSTRIKE (2) has switched yards since finishing seventh two-and-a-half weeks ago over 6f at Gawler. Made a mess of his rivals fresh in this grade and is a big danger if he can recapture that form. THE WIRRULLA BOY (5) was well in the market again when third at this track and starting to prove costly but does tend to run well here. Going well without winning so don't underestimate. STAR VALOUR (15) hasn't been far away lately. Winning rider Caitlyn Munro stays aboard. Certainly one to consider.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Form hard to fault. Most recently ran on from midfield and won by 0.5 len at this track Bm68 December 17 over 6 ¾f defeating The Guava carrying 121lbs at $2.90. Before that came from midfield and won by 1.1 len at this track Cg&E 0-56 December 5 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Setteveli carrying 126lbs at $3.20. Can keep the ball rolling. 1st Pick 3 Lava Lad Jockey: Sophie Potter Trainer: Kristy Oyarzun J: Sophie Potter T: Kristy Oyarzun	144	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently ran on from midfield and won by 0.5 len at this track Bm68 December 17 over 6 ¾f defeating The Guava carrying 121lbs at $2.90. Before that came from midfield and won by 1.1 len at this track Cg&E 0-56 December 5 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Setteveli carrying 126lbs at $3.20. Can keep the ball rolling.
11	Third-up today. First-up won by 1.0 len at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw December 5 over 6f defeating Offa's Dyke carrying 117lbs at $17. Second run from a spell won by a neck at this track 0-56 December 17 over 6 ¾f defeating Sassy Angel carrying 121lbs at $26. Deserves respect this time. 2nd Pick 11 Georgiegina Jockey: Alyssa Webb Trainer: M A White J: Alyssa Webb T: M A White	65	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up won by 1.0 len at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw December 5 over 6f defeating Offa's Dyke carrying 117lbs at $17. Second run from a spell won by a neck at this track 0-56 December 17 over 6 ¾f defeating Sassy Angel carrying 121lbs at $26. Deserves respect this time.
2	Last start ran last of 7 at Gawler Nmw-Ly Bm72 on December 13 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Three Rings carrying 127lbs at $4.20. Before that 8th of 15 at Morphettville Riziz Bm68 on November 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Ginger Sinner with 132lbs at $8.50. Big danger on best form. 3rd Pick 2 Overstrike Jockey: Brooke King Trainer: John Dunn & Krystal Bishop J: Brooke King T: John Dunn & Krystal Bishop	112	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Last start ran last of 7 at Gawler Nmw-Ly Bm72 on December 13 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Three Rings carrying 127lbs at $4.20. Before that 8th of 15 at Morphettville Riziz Bm68 on November 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Ginger Sinner with 132lbs at $8.50. Big danger on best form.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.